World Politics · resolved market
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x817d4b78894e48d96d85a6e016bd12958d3d2a11915f10988f66b45de2751ac0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 11c | 7,877$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.92 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 13c | 3,361$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.02 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…f114backed No | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c3…0c7ebacked No | 13c | 1,705$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.03 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 2c | 1,682$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed No | 6c | 1,200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.42 | 135 | 8.1%11 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked No | 3c | 1,057$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…2e62backed No | 15c | 1,009$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.96 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 1c | 830.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 19c | 777$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.41 | 146 | 37%54 W · 92 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 12c | 757$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.27 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 10c | 701.02$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 316 | 35.1%111 W · 205 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 3c | 698.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 5c | 687.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 3c | 670$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 12c | 650$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.75 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 23c | 640.1$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.52 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 2c | 600.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb84d…ad8abacked Yes | 18c | 583$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 10c | 579.94$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 193 | 15.5%30 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 12c | 530$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 6c | 521.39$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 16c | 518.62$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.78 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -8.5wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 40c | 516.91$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.23 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5073…16a7backed Yes | 67c | 506.69$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.78 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 3c | 505$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e32…18e6backed Yes | 18c | 441$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 19c | 378$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.54 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed No | 31c | 316.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2762…2cf6backed No | 31c | 266.39$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 8c | 263.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 167 | 6.6%11 W · 156 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 34c | 241.17$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 10c | 238.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd34d…b5c3backed No | 4c | 238.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 7c | 232.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 32c | 216.22$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.27 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -32.3wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 14c | 209.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…ca41backed No | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55c0…6c7bbacked No | 15c | 189.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 16c | 189.19$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…fe52backed Yes | 67c | 175$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53a3…e5afbacked No | 22c | 174.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8215…1279backed No | 25c | 157.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked Yes | 69c | 146.16$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.84 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 10c | 145.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 46c | 119$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…77e8backed No | 13c | 110$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…ceb9backed No | 33c | 106.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 34c | 105$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…4194backed No | 31c | 103.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…14f3backed No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 31c | 82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x264d…6f2bbacked Yes | 71c | 77.87$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…80f8backed No | 16c | 72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 33c | 67.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked No | 31c | 62.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 56c | 60.66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd98d…1179backed No | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4068backed Yes | 57c | 55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…65c9backed Yes | 61c | 42.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 34c | 41.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…d582backed No | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…88ddbacked Yes | 63c | 35.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32e5…931abacked No | 33c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b9…9e85backed Yes | 69c | 31.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 51c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ad…6866backed No | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked Yes | 66c | 22.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 67c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 150 | 76%114 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…dfd3backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd04…dda0backed Yes | 56c | 18.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…e56cbacked Yes | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?this page
- Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?No won
- Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2026 meeting?No won
- Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?No won
- Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2026 meeting?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.