World Politics · resolved market
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d67e894a960a0485f73815e468702674b3c8de4ed5edae0ed94dbc10473eb74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,428
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,428 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x39c3…0c7ebacked Yes | 11c | 13,114$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.24 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…2e62backed Yes | 23c | 9,748$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250.95 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf40…004cbacked Yes | 14c | 9,666$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…92e9backed Yes | 2c | 4,903$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…7b54backed Yes | 21c | 4,561$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87dd…be4fbacked No | 79c | 2,801$2,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffa0…dae4backed No | 79c | 1,760$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 5c | 1,150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.02 | 135 | 8.1%11 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed No | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +210.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…93d4backed Yes | 20c | 983.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 6c | 665.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 193 | 15.5%30 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 78c | 592.44$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.38 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 59c | 511.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.97 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4518…1cacbacked Yes | 6c | 499.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 3c | 400$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 149 | 4.7%7 W · 142 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…16c0backed Yes | 26c | 383.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd98d…1179backed No | 71c | 270$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.8 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 15c | 257.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 316 | 35.1%111 W · 205 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94da…2bf1backed No | 74c | 250$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x978e…80bcbacked Yes | 43c | 250$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed Yes | 32c | 238.12$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe055…8df9backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb616…0086backed No | 53c | 180$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.01 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed Yes | 10c | 175.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…fe52backed Yes | 28c | 175$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f8…b261backed Yes | 13c | 171.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55c0…6c7bbacked Yes | 19c | 165.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 69c | 142.87$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6746…d842backed Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 77c | 140.09$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ca…527dbacked Yes | 11c | 138.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a3…67e3backed Yes | 40c | 130$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a3…e5afbacked Yes | 21c | 122.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…80f8backed No | 70c | 120.08$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 10c | 118.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 19c | 117.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked Yes | 33c | 117.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 64c | 105.83$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…3912backed Yes | 15c | 104.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc7…4ea0backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2762…2cf6backed Yes | 40c | 86.46$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 60c | 84.7$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.96 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ad…6866backed No | 65c | 79.33$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf723…b404backed Yes | 14c | 79.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9746…d36cbacked Yes | 28c | 72.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 18c | 63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32e5…931abacked No | 70c | 57.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4068backed Yes | 35c | 55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…14f3backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a16…518bbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…d2ebbacked Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf46…3083backed No | 58c | 39.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…ceb9backed Yes | 33c | 35.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 51c | 33.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…fd88backed Yes | 30c | 33.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked No | 80c | 28.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 59c | 28.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 76c | 24.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 69c | 24.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…a42dbacked Yes | 45c | 23.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?this page
- Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?No won
- Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2026 meeting?No won
- Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2026 meeting?No won
- No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.