Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71b1a88a190418caa6b2db3fb8e754303050d744f07a28990af29fbde87e4249
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,277 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a04…b254backed Yes | 1c | 5,097$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.98 | 598 | 18.4%110 W · 488 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4e…14cfbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 138 | 9.4%13 W · 125 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 2cpaid | +357.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,021$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e1…976dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 191 | 1%2 W · 189 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 38c | 960.92$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.47 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 44c | 506.71$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.49 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe979…0c8bbacked Yes | 24c | 463.78$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.19 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32e5…931abacked No | 78c | 402.45$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.45 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed No | 26c | 401.53$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.11 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 33c | 353.4$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.16 | 468 | 24.4%114 W · 354 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 21c | 296.46$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.97 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…aba6backed Yes | 34c | 295.11$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.84 | 774 | 28.6%221 W · 553 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…a3ddbacked No | 51c | 281.15$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.82 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 71c | 257.49$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.18 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 22c | 220.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 44c | 217.09$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.25 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed No | 24c | 211.39$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.66 | 336 | 20.2%68 W · 268 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 8c | 200$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.13 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 30c | 180$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.19 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked Yes | 30c | 168.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 32c | 153.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cc…a95dbacked No | 64c | 153.53$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.53 | 70 | 81.4%57 W · 13 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…ba96backed Yes | 79c | 153$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.83 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 54c | 152.81$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.69 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fb…3fadbacked Yes | 50c | 147.34$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.67 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 33c | 147.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 31c | 134.17$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed Yes | 22c | 133.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x720a…0a49backed No | 76c | 132.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 118 | 78.8%93 W · 25 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4da…dfb5backed Yes | 64c | 116.46$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.72 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…957bbacked Yes | 38c | 115.04$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 370 | 56.5%209 W · 161 L | +31.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…b156backed Yes | 26c | 114.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…2048backed No | 44c | 113.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.51 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…86cbbacked Yes | 69c | 110.72$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.89 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…6754backed Yes | 74c | 110$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 354 | 65%230 W · 124 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…faeabacked Yes | 31c | 108.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 311 | 70.7%220 W · 91 L | +42.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf77b…42e9backed Yes | 31c | 108.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5911…911cbacked Yes | 21c | 106$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 46c | 105$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…2fadbacked No | 74c | 97.54$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 120 | 68.3%82 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…2b4abacked Yes | 12c | 93.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 149 | 15.4%23 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 58c | 88.34$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7908…4f35backed Yes | 25c | 85.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7658…e770backed No | 59c | 82.03$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 80.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…12c2backed Yes | 26c | 78.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…7057backed No | 70c | 78.1$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 192 | 59.9%115 W · 77 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1236…78bebacked Yes | 19c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2569…5044backed Yes | 40c | 74.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…15a9backed Yes | 18c | 72.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 567 | 21.3%121 W · 446 L | -25.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…5c5cbacked Yes | 45c | 71.16$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74b7…14e9backed Yes | 75c | 70$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.19 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec2…b46cbacked No | 38c | 65.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 55c | 65.29$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 74c | 65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55c6…30f4backed Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefc…c010backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…0fdcbacked Yes | 25c | 62.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 1,024 | 25%256 W · 768 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 41c | 62.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46b3…d3debacked Yes | 17c | 58.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 244 | 14.3%35 W · 209 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5132…585ebacked Yes | 29c | 57.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked No | 67c | 56.2$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 48c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 314 | 42.4%133 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 33c | 50.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc495…b421backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…8ba5backed Yes | 26c | 49.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 424 | 38.9%165 W · 259 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 54c | 46.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 34c | 46.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd01…d8cdbacked Yes | 24c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 332 | 43.1%143 W · 189 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 54c | 44.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 42c | 44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 74c | 40.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…fc2ebacked Yes | 55c | 39.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16a…57d5backed Yes | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 42c | 38.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…7935backed No | 63c | 36.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 53 | 75.5%40 W · 13 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe164…acfebacked No | 76c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 80 | 76.3%61 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 75cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 73c | 34.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913a…a3e7backed Yes | 40c | 29.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +6.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf2de…ff4fbacked No | 71c | 27.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…8e12backed No | 73c | 27.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 474 | 42.4%201 W · 273 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e7cbacked Yes | 72c | 27.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -80%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…41cebacked Yes | 38c | 26.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +2,980%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 67c | 26.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 64c | 26.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 763 | 71.4%545 W · 218 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea9…7927backed No | 77c | 26.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda7b…3c9fbacked No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 125 | 67.2%84 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…a01abacked Yes | 44c | 24.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 616 | 59.3%365 W · 251 L | +68.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 60c | 24.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd05…0e6ebacked No | 65c | 23.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13f3…d427backed No | 69c | 21.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 326 | 69%225 W · 101 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…fc3dbacked No | 70c | 20.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 277 | 56%155 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…b99abacked Yes | 73c | 20.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 76cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee0…9a1ebacked Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 59c | 18.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…ae21backed No | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 353 | 62.9%222 W · 131 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 75c | 15.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aea…2ab8backed No | 70c | 15.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 65°F or below on March 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 84°F or higher on March 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on March 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 23?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on March 23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.