Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b47bc8d39c57f80c9b6b1cb23141961a05ae2062ccf821bd90b6108cd432d0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,281 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 3c | 2,938$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.51 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4e…14cfbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 138 | 9.4%13 W · 125 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 2cpaid | +357.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b2b4backed No | 63c | 1,139$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.91 | 321 | 57.3%184 W · 137 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19e1…976dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 191 | 1%2 W · 189 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…55e4backed No | 75c | 534.3$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.35 | 48 | 87.5%42 W · 6 L | +12.0wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +49%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fb…3fadbacked Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…e08ebacked Yes | 50c | 407.64$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.8 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 31c | 375.58$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.9 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 21c | 295.88$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.68 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4da…dfb5backed Yes | 44c | 292.09$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.37 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…aba6backed Yes | 39c | 252.61$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.87 | 774 | 28.6%221 W · 553 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 27c | 250$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe63…2de4backed Yes | 58c | 181.62$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 29c | 181$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.29 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 65c | 177.1$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.8 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 36c | 167.62$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.13 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…fc3dbacked No | 64c | 156.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.02 | 277 | 56%155 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…faeabacked No | 72c | 156.33$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.84 | 311 | 70.7%220 W · 91 L | +42.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf77b…42e9backed No | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 57c | 128.51$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 21c | 125$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 76c | 124.66$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 38c | 119.49$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…5c5cbacked Yes | 33c | 113.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 74c | 111.26$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 30c | 102.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked No | 47c | 93.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.26 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…8e12backed No | 63c | 90.83$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 474 | 42.4%201 W · 273 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5132…585ebacked Yes | 48c | 85.01$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 54c | 83.53$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.47 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55c6…30f4backed No | 67c | 75.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x798b…d699backed Yes | 42c | 72.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22fe…20c6backed Yes | 25c | 71.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…fc2ebacked Yes | 47c | 69.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 32c | 67.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 468 | 24.4%114 W · 354 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…0fdcbacked Yes | 41c | 67.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 1,024 | 25%256 W · 768 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd05…0e6ebacked No | 54c | 67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 25c | 66.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe0eb…a7d8backed No | 75c | 66.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 58 | 74.1%43 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x302c…108abacked Yes | 40c | 62.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2205…8089backed No | 77c | 58.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 290 | 56.2%163 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 27c | 57.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2018…640abacked Yes | 35c | 57.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…a96cbacked Yes | 43c | 54.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 810 | 29.1%236 W · 574 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…b254backed Yes | 28c | 54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 598 | 18.4%110 W · 488 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 73c | 53.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd417…9438backed No | 69c | 51.55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0c…8589backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65df…6144backed Yes | 31c | 49.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -8.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…8ba5backed Yes | 45c | 49.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 424 | 38.9%165 W · 259 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x060c…9352backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 33%30 W · 61 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 37c | 47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…7057backed No | 69c | 46.36$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 192 | 59.9%115 W · 77 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3d…2c18backed No | 65c | 45.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 44c | 45.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 63c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 51c | 43.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…d88cbacked Yes | 35c | 42.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aea…2ab8backed No | 57c | 41.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcaf…435fbacked Yes | 38c | 41.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…6fecbacked Yes | 39c | 38.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…522abacked No | 59c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe164…acfebacked No | 78c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 80 | 76.3%61 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 75cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1879…b287backed No | 52c | 31.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16d9…f0b0backed No | 54c | 31.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 286 | 48.3%138 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…8e7abacked Yes | 35c | 30.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6160…fdfcbacked No | 52c | 30.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…4c1ebacked No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 496 | 75.4%374 W · 122 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 56c | 29.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 572 | 32.9%188 W · 384 L | -104.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 31-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3b…c508backed Yes | 38c | 29.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef3…ac46backed Yes | 47c | 29.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 54c | 29.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xdefc…c010backed Yes | 40c | 29.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…23d9backed Yes | 37c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 327 | 60.6%198 W · 129 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2569…5044backed Yes | 40c | 28.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…41cebacked Yes | 44c | 26.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +2,980%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 71c | 26.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…2048backed No | 48c | 26.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…f72dbacked No | 63c | 25.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…755dbacked No | 64c | 25.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…8e5cbacked Yes | 46c | 25.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 303 | 33%100 W · 203 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c79…c259backed No | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d6…e222backed No | 68c | 24.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 66cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbf…cf4bbacked No | 63c | 24.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3c…d85dbacked Yes | 52c | 23.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35df…84d2backed Yes | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 53c | 22.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 75c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7658…e770backed No | 69c | 21.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 58c | 21.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…9a5cbacked No | 60c | 21.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda7b…3c9fbacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 125 | 67.2%84 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…f003backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 306 | 52.6%161 W · 145 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 57c | 19.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c3…4613backed No | 66c | 19.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 77 | 77.9%60 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 71c | 18.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 66c | 17.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 344 | 57%196 W · 148 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be0…c37dbacked No | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 190 | 58.9%112 W · 78 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 65°F or below on March 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 84°F or higher on March 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on March 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 23?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on March 23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.