Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on March 21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63b1aadb8edf4f000fe449d98553958ffdbb84022953906fe9c78b40d556d76b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,461 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 70c | 1,076$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.24 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 7c | 830.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 597 | 42%251 W · 346 L | +96.8wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 54c | 398.25$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.07 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 29c | 380$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.83 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x034f…ca6bbacked No | 56c | 362.95$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.31 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…017cbacked Yes | 26c | 349.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.99 | 238 | 23.9%57 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked No | 23c | 348.88$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.03 | 900 | 40.7%366 W · 534 L | +112.3wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 26c | 320.82$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.22 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 51c | 279.39$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.21 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 8c | 278.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 346 | 17.9%62 W · 284 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 27c | 254.88$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.31 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 23c | 251.95$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.91 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 33c | 234.93$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.51 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed No | 74c | 234$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.38 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…2048backed No | 40c | 214.49$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.32 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 27c | 209.12$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.38 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 35c | 205$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.94 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 46c | 173.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.64 | 895 | 44.7%400 W · 495 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…a79bbacked Yes | 19c | 166.65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.76 | 132 | 15.9%21 W · 111 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x554a…96e3backed No | 61c | 165.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.33 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 34c | 148.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.62 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6371…fc91backed No | 50c | 146.47$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.55 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6987…846bbacked Yes | 63c | 135.91$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 51c | 128.68$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.25 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 72c | 119.19$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.82 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x720a…0a49backed No | 75c | 118.09$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.51 | 118 | 78.8%93 W · 25 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfa…1542backed No | 78c | 115.89$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.79 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 69c | 112.67$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.06 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 64c | 110.45$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.06 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e5…931abacked No | 64c | 110.1$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 75c | 108.75$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.07 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x302c…108abacked Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1385…e96abacked No | 20c | 104.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 137 | 32.1%44 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd26…5b5cbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b8…01eebacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf306…2155backed Yes | 28c | 99.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.96 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46b3…d3debacked Yes | 28c | 98.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.53 | 244 | 14.3%35 W · 209 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb532…8577backed No | 20c | 94.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 191 | 33.5%64 W · 127 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 63c | 93.29$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4f…8fbcbacked Yes | 32c | 93.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…7007backed Yes | 22c | 88.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.94 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 39c | 87.35$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.12 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…5c5cbacked Yes | 40c | 86.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.78 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce6…77d1backed No | 24c | 83.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 44c | 77.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…977abacked Yes | 15c | 77.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.84 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…092abacked Yes | 28c | 76.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.85 | 361 | 23%83 W · 278 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…260cbacked Yes | 38c | 74.88$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.66 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cd…c7adbacked Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…fc2ebacked Yes | 45c | 64.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Yes | 31c | 63.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 36c | 63.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.71 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 64c | 63.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 523 | 22.6%118 W · 405 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 69c | 62.68$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 43c | 61.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 37c | 60.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 58c | 59.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 31c | 59.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef3…ac46backed Yes | 43c | 55.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…23d9backed No | 73c | 54.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 327 | 60.6%198 W · 129 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2018…640abacked Yes | 40c | 50.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…2b4abacked Yes | 25c | 50.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.81 | 149 | 15.4%23 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ee…44a4backed No | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d07…6bf3backed Yes | 26c | 49.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.73 | 196 | 17.9%35 W · 161 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 28c | 49.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4be0…c37dbacked No | 72c | 48.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 190 | 58.9%112 W · 78 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 71c | 47.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…7ea4backed Yes | 32c | 46.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 559 | 42.6%238 W · 321 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…b254backed Yes | 25c | 41.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 598 | 18.4%110 W · 488 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 72c | 41.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa96a…1377backed No | 64c | 40.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 541 | 43.6%236 W · 305 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed No | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…27a1backed Yes | 44c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 320 | 44.7%143 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 47c | 39.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe0eb…a7d8backed No | 68c | 38.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 58 | 74.1%43 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 42c | 37.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 572 | 32.9%188 W · 384 L | -104.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 31-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xd41f…bb32backed No | 69c | 36.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 31c | 35.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 497 | 50.3%250 W · 247 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 29c | 35.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…8ba5backed Yes | 37c | 35.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 424 | 38.9%165 W · 259 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 68c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 65c | 34.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…a737backed No | 71c | 33.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 226 | 75.7%171 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…ad63backed No | 75c | 33.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…2094backed Yes | 30c | 33.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +231.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 69c | 31.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…1d66backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…1e6dbacked No | 76c | 31.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 327 | 38.2%125 W · 202 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de1…5301backed No | 66c | 30.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 85.5%59 W · 10 L | +10.0wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…c28cbacked No | 71c | 29.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…47a8backed Yes | 73c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 242 | 62.4%151 W · 91 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27fb…3f5ebacked No | 60c | 25.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf6…87f6backed Yes | 42c | 25.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…c1b6backed No | 73c | 23.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 216 | 76.4%165 W · 51 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6c…d8cdbacked No | 72c | 20.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 73 | 75.3%55 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…a957backed No | 73c | 20.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf10…557ebacked No | 74c | 20.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on March 21?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on March 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 90°F or higher on March 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on March 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on March 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on March 21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.