Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on March 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x391e9007d0dde9de9dc06859647706db92f05ef4a97c1c1b6c3368b5b2ec8f33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,422 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5018…84fbbacked Yes | 17c | 1,150$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.62 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b2b4backed No | 80c | 541.98$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.24 | 321 | 57.3%184 W · 137 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 30c | 387$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.65 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 20c | 314.95$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.27 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…aba6backed Yes | 21c | 263.85$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.14 | 774 | 28.6%221 W · 553 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…017cbacked Yes | 23c | 252.05$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 238 | 23.9%57 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba3a…e041backed Yes | 26c | 249.68$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.32 | 99 | 27.3%27 W · 72 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 21c | 244.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2f…a13cbacked No | 78c | 239.4$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.81 | 59 | 81.4%48 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 73cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 20c | 201.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e5…931abacked No | 77c | 200.06$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 27c | 185.72$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 72c | 180.73$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 27c | 157.79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…3f62backed Yes | 9c | 142.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 75c | 135.86$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.23 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 13c | 133.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 336 | 20.2%68 W · 268 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 29c | 126.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 78c | 120.32$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.01 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe164…acfebacked No | 74c | 118.07$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 80 | 76.3%61 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 75cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 19c | 111.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 21c | 110$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…44f0backed Yes | 27c | 103.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 77c | 100.86$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…7007backed Yes | 25c | 100.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…a3ddbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 78c | 93.4$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…0fdcbacked Yes | 14c | 84.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 1,024 | 25%256 W · 768 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2205…8089backed No | 74c | 71.62$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 290 | 56.2%163 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7141…7900backed Yes | 24c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 26c | 69.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 490 | 38.8%190 W · 300 L | +24.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53a0…1907backed Yes | 20c | 68.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 73 | 9.6%7 W · 66 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0eb…a7d8backed No | 75c | 66.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 58 | 74.1%43 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0a…bb29backed Yes | 19c | 66.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 114 | 25.4%29 W · 85 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b24…6e4abacked Yes | 20c | 65.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 73c | 65.43$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7908…4f35backed Yes | 30c | 65.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…8ba5backed Yes | 33c | 64.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 424 | 38.9%165 W · 259 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c7…14babacked No | 78c | 64.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…7ea4backed Yes | 24c | 61.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 559 | 42.6%238 W · 321 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 17c | 59.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…065fbacked Yes | 17c | 59.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 72c | 55.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 29c | 54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd05…0e6ebacked No | 71c | 53.52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 65c | 51.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 27c | 49.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbea…76d0backed Yes | 23c | 47.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +6.0wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd01…d8cdbacked Yes | 27c | 43.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 332 | 43.1%143 W · 189 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…15a9backed Yes | 23c | 42.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 567 | 21.3%121 W · 446 L | -25.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 78c | 38.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e5…485abacked No | 74c | 38.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 72c | 37.69$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…c1b6backed No | 71c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 216 | 76.4%165 W · 51 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…4e36backed No | 78c | 32.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 197 | 72.6%143 W · 54 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 73c | 26.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd72d…9e9ebacked No | 76c | 26.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 39 | 87.2%34 W · 5 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb20e…58cebacked No | 77c | 25.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 72cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…8e12backed No | 74c | 24.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 474 | 42.4%201 W · 273 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…a737backed No | 74c | 21.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 226 | 75.7%171 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…a957backed No | 76c | 21.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 69c | 20.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…c706backed No | 77c | 20.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5c…1d38backed No | 73c | 20.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f4…99bbbacked No | 73c | 20.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…f095backed No | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 28 | 89.3%25 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 74cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7aea…2ab8backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…75abbacked No | 76c | 19.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…b8aebacked No | 71c | 19.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 264 | 58.7%155 W · 109 L | -20.5wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325e…5308backed No | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…4f99backed No | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1475…ed52backed No | 78c | 19.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…c28cbacked No | 77c | 18.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…2d9dbacked No | 76c | 15.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea18…e9c1backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…0b7dbacked No | 68c | 14.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 407 | 77.1%314 W · 93 L | +28.1wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad65…b49ebacked No | 78c | 13.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 77 | 71.4%55 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on March 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 59°F or below on March 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 78°F or higher on March 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on March 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on March 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on March 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 24?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on March 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.