Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on March 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d2773bc4c07d3c7a67c988f5ef6055dfe41b7c09b020911af25e422740914a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,150 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb897…7007backed Yes | 2c | 1,068$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 20c | 410.71$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.27 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 35c | 387$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.31 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 15c | 339.65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.13 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9e…5421backed No | 58c | 299.98$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.99 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba3a…e041backed Yes | 34c | 249.9$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.44 | 99 | 27.3%27 W · 72 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…017cbacked Yes | 31c | 242.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.23 | 238 | 23.9%57 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 23c | 241.51$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.65 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5018…84fbbacked Yes | 38c | 240.71$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.46 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 73c | 239.24$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 8c | 223.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 368 | 19.6%72 W · 296 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…aba6backed Yes | 30c | 214.03$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.21 | 774 | 28.6%221 W · 553 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 74c | 183.56$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.42 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 40c | 158.89$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.63 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 80c | 158.59$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked Yes | 17c | 143.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe164…acfebacked No | 75c | 118.09$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 80 | 76.3%61 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 75cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcb…634fbacked Yes | 41c | 110.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 215 | 47.4%102 W · 113 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 72c | 108.57$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…a3ddbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e5…931abacked Yes | 36c | 99.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…0fdcbacked Yes | 14c | 99.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 1,024 | 25%256 W · 768 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b2b4backed No | 67c | 93.9$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 321 | 57.3%184 W · 137 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 19c | 89.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x129c…0085backed Yes | 44c | 78.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 20c | 78.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 67c | 71.31$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…7057backed No | 60c | 67.92$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 192 | 59.9%115 W · 77 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0eb…a7d8backed No | 76c | 65.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 58 | 74.1%43 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…8ba5backed Yes | 47c | 64.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 424 | 38.9%165 W · 259 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a6…703dbacked Yes | 36c | 55.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7141…7900backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda7b…3c9fbacked No | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 125 | 67.2%84 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53a0…1907backed Yes | 26c | 48.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 73 | 9.6%7 W · 66 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4f…8fbcbacked Yes | 29c | 47.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…8e12backed No | 73c | 43.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 474 | 42.4%201 W · 273 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…d88cbacked Yes | 36c | 41.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…b254backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 598 | 18.4%110 W · 488 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 59c | 38.84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 40c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…7810backed No | 62c | 35.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 41 | 7.3%3 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 67c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…c28cbacked No | 71c | 29.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb20e…58cebacked No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 72cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7b…e799backed No | 62c | 28.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf63…c3bbbacked No | 68c | 27.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…f038backed No | 50c | 25.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 661 | 41.8%276 W · 385 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…a737backed No | 67c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 226 | 75.7%171 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…c706backed No | 70c | 22.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…f095backed No | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 28 | 89.3%25 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 74cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5c…1d38backed No | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 69c | 21.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…4f99backed No | 70c | 19.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f4…99bbbacked No | 68c | 15.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 70c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea18…e9c1backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on March 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 59°F or below on March 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 78°F or higher on March 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on March 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on March 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on March 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 24?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on March 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.