World Politics · resolved market
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 15-18%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b903a669b462e4f46ad7da467d286b94db2d3cfaf66e1df2d52b4be8534700a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $236,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $186,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $236,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c6c…1f86backed Yes | 10c | 39,123$3,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,848.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…43cabacked Yes | 8c | 14,772$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.87 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 8c | 11,689$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.1 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba4…4f6bbacked Yes | 19c | 10,950$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 2c | 9,819$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.13 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…08b4backed Yes | 11c | 8,146$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa80…3aa0backed Yes | 80c | 7,865$6,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,284.43 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…462ebacked Yes | 7c | 7,317$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.02 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d9…7c7bbacked Yes | 10c | 5,978$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.41per pick | 39cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…afa6backed No | 71c | 4,608$3,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.47 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed Yes | 6c | 3,946$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.79 | 196 | 23%45 W · 151 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…553ebacked Yes | 21c | 2,381$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.65 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 6c | 2,324$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.21 | 87 | 16.1%14 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…a678backed Yes | 13c | 1,959$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.62 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +8.3wins | +0.23per pick | 30cpaid | +66%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 16c | 1,862$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.22 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…3c56backed Yes | 5c | 1,845$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.47 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c5a…7e4ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,827$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 6c | 1,548$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.11 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Yes | 9c | 1,222$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.83 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad6…cc62backed Yes | 43c | 1,204$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.62 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bad…8974backed Yes | 9c | 1,127$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0146backed Yes | 5c | 1,105$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db1…aa4bbacked Yes | 51c | 1,086$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f83…6cd9backed Yes | 12c | 1,042$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.28 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…2f44backed Yes | 59c | 985.04$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b49…178dbacked Yes | 5c | 979.1$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa643…e1c1backed Yes | 14c | 955.83$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…013ebacked Yes | 6c | 879.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 11c | 873.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes | 28c | 871.55$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…6b6ebacked Yes | 36c | 870.96$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.05 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc2…0b59backed Yes | 5c | 865.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edd…728cbacked Yes | 33c | 760.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83db…e775backed Yes | 13c | 747.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +167.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…0eacbacked Yes | 6c | 733.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb609…85f8backed Yes | 15c | 662.24$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.6 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +75%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed No | 46c | 661.79$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.97 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +18.2wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa527…4228backed Yes | 11c | 601.61$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.37 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.46per pick | 40cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd569…48c1backed Yes | 9c | 550$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd566…3e2dbacked Yes | 7c | 538.93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9800…9a33backed Yes | 9c | 525.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4d…2173backed Yes | 7c | 500$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 17c | 452.2$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.54 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…86b6backed Yes | 10c | 450.47$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 11c | 447.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e40…a020backed Yes | 49c | 442.24$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 416.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b1…2869backed Yes | 5c | 411.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x575f…ac27backed Yes | 17c | 401.35$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25b3…e61abacked Yes | 5c | 393.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +45%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked No | 76c | 380.61$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.89 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 9c | 374.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc492…11c1backed Yes | 8c | 373.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb112…7361backed Yes | 15c | 357.37$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 4c | 346.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…fd6dbacked Yes | 10c | 333.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked Yes | 9c | 313.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbedd…58a4backed Yes | 8c | 299.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 35cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…00c7backed Yes | 24c | 287$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.71 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa272…71f1backed Yes | 75c | 281.54$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba4a…713dbacked Yes | 13c | 269.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205a…7a63backed Yes | 7c | 269.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 9c | 264.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 134 | 4.5%6 W · 128 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2120…bba9backed Yes | 15c | 236.7$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa7…97d0backed Yes | 5c | 225.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6408…7f4dbacked Yes | 11c | 224.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e5…931abacked Yes | 5c | 216.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 12c | 205.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e07…3545backed No | 37c | 200$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 12c | 199.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…96a8backed Yes | 60c | 166.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5076…1d96backed Yes | 44c | 160.88$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…6677backed Yes | 14c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.18per pick | 12cpaid | +167.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d93…8cbebacked Yes | 9c | 146$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8a…36cfbacked Yes | 79c | 139.39$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 13c | 139$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a7…0180backed Yes | 15c | 136.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c6…08b3backed Yes | 62c | 129.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No | 28c | 118.61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.75 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa976…5c43backed Yes | 9c | 118.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb03f…c592backed Yes | 17c | 117.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7264…a39cbacked Yes | 61c | 113.55$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.08 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…ab48backed Yes | 9c | 109.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…af7dbacked Yes | 19c | 106.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3469…d0c7backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 31cpaid | +200.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66d9…bef3backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 17c | 94.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x10de…a9f6backed Yes | 27c | 91.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 66c | 91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…f6c4backed Yes | 15c | 83.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…c8f4backed Yes | 24c | 82.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +44%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71fb…1d2dbacked Yes | 12c | 82.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 55c | 77.62$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff9…baadbacked Yes | 45c | 70.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 70c | 63.1$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9b…7a04backed Yes | 58c | 61.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 54c | 55.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe0…031dbacked Yes | 70c | 43.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd61e…f363backed Yes | 43c | 40.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 15-18%?this page
- Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 12-15%?Yes won
- Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 18%+?No won
- Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9-12%?No won
- Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by <9%?No won
- Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.