World Politics · resolved market
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa919b6a7cc8c958d82141ec2ba77b8fe813083a7ee2083178305c409ae28ce0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,482
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,482 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x444e…31c1backed Yes | 61c | 7,124$4,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,331.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 28c | 5,557$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.67 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 40c | 3,256$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.13 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -8.5wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 2c | 2,800$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 135 | 8.1%11 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…c1c4backed No | 26c | 2,511$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.18 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d8…99f0backed Yes | 71c | 2,316$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b71…c33ebacked Yes | 24c | 2,237$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 53c | 2,198$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.95 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed Yes | 12c | 2,145$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.25 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 43c | 2,045$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.6 | 324 | 34.9%113 W · 211 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c3…0c7ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,708$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.24 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcee…bda5backed No | 63c | 1,707$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.3 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 50c | 1,471$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 35c | 1,318$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.75 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 8c | 1,296$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.72 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -71%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4734…0979backed Yes | 12c | 1,256$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.78 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3442…81afbacked Yes | 5c | 1,222$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f4…5e6abacked Yes | 10c | 1,219$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.73 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4901…cc02backed Yes | 80c | 1,203$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…df5cbacked Yes | 21c | 1,169$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.01 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 36c | 977.51$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.91 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…c4febacked Yes | 6c | 901.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 11cpaid | +145.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 53c | 716.7$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.76 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…fe52backed Yes | 75c | 650$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.91 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 79c | 583.77$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.1 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 6c | 539.8$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…2debbacked Yes | 28c | 517.7$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0860…cfbbbacked Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d5…37aebacked Yes | 5c | 498.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 52c | 488.15$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.96 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dad…c5dabacked Yes | 75c | 479.28$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 58c | 477$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.74 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 13c | 450.71$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.29 | 553 | 34.5%191 W · 362 L | -38.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…9145backed Yes | 14c | 420$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fb…a6a2backed Yes | 8c | 384.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 43c | 383.33$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.04 | 994 | 17.2%171 W · 823 L | -149.6wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 26c | 373.17$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.59 | 468 | 30.1%141 W · 327 L | -20.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc61e…244cbacked Yes | 4c | 369.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 63c | 335.51$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.52 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 42c | 327.86$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.16 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…dac8backed Yes | 80c | 325$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.02 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1a…6bccbacked Yes | 55c | 318.34$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.82 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 5c | 317.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…3484backed Yes | 10c | 315.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…3321backed Yes | 72c | 312.61$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked Yes | 71c | 295.25$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.27 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9d…d78ebacked Yes | 23c | 273.9$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.91 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…611cbacked Yes | 65c | 254.84$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…7b84backed Yes | 19c | 234.46$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 34c | 230.41$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.39 | 1,344 | 44.3%595 W · 749 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Yes | 62c | 214.36$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.32 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…bac3backed Yes | 76c | 212$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.64 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 22c | 189.97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.8 | 1,437 | 10.2%147 W · 1,290 L | -4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32e5…931abacked Yes | 22c | 188.9$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.29 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d77…af31backed Yes | 53c | 187.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a6…58a3backed Yes | 6c | 185.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…4c29backed Yes | 17c | 183.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e1…5168backed Yes | 72c | 159.3$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1653…384bbacked Yes | 36c | 151.1$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4068backed Yes | 74c | 130$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…385dbacked Yes | 10c | 130$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 73c | 117.8$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.99 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53a3…e5afbacked Yes | 18c | 113.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…2d3cbacked Yes | 73c | 112.91$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51df…8f22backed Yes | 58c | 111.74$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…e56cbacked Yes | 13c | 111$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 21c | 111$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.69 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 70c | 111$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.04 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…cbd5backed Yes | 74c | 105$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 23c | 100.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.82 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8f…7946backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +252.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 190 | 45.3%86 W · 104 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 151 | 37.1%56 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8e…4cacbacked Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4785…af66backed Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 55c | 99.04$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.86 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca7…8ba4backed Yes | 80c | 98.21$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4c…93eebacked No | 23c | 87.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +57%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…a9aabacked Yes | 63c | 82.05$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcab5…4bddbacked No | 41c | 80$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 271 | 55.7%151 W · 120 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5073…16a7backed Yes | 47c | 79.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa288…f80fbacked Yes | 65c | 73.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaac4…d677backed No | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 38c | 63.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.31 | 894 | 48.3%432 W · 462 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 39c | 61.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 79c | 61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 21c | 61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.19 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 18c | 60$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…7ca1backed Yes | 71c | 59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda4…d5d2backed No | 42c | 58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed No | 45c | 57.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 30c | 55.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7593…e677backed Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe356…63bcbacked No | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…ca08backed No | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +288.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc18e…44e3backed Yes | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked No | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…9b36backed No | 28c | 49.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?this page
- Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?Yes won
- Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the May meeting?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.