Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on March 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb6721067944313793a7af81733ffa87537f31b7fec651171069c23a8e781369
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,998 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e3c…eba1backed No | 27c | 905.81$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.16 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa785…acb6backed Yes | 65c | 825.94$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.32 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 8c | 822.01$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.98 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 18c | 710.56$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.38 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed Yes | 73c | 665.21$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.85 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 27c | 653.35$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.14 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 10c | 590.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 597 | 42%251 W · 346 L | +96.8wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3d…2c18backed No | 72c | 501.13$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.26 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…3fa9backed No | 4c | 499.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 313 | 19.2%60 W · 253 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 15c | 371.51$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.63 | 564 | 24.5%138 W · 426 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 12c | 345.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.66 | 368 | 19.6%72 W · 296 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked Yes | 20c | 325.22$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.26 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No | 21c | 303.34$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.74 | 342 | 19.9%68 W · 274 L | +18.6wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…0a0bbacked No | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 60c | 290.01$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.65 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked Yes | 14c | 272.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.83 | 900 | 40.7%366 W · 534 L | +112.3wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…2048backed No | 36c | 252.12$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.29 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 6c | 243.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.87 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad62…2aa9backed Yes | 29c | 236.27$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.4 | 165 | 32.7%54 W · 111 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 40c | 221.61$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.58 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 23c | 218.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x32e5…931abacked Yes | 19c | 200.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.35 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 8c | 177.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.99 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c0…5443backed Yes | 25c | 175.16$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.18 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 63c | 163.49$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -11.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…fb31backed Yes | 76c | 155.84$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.81 | 169 | 44.4%75 W · 94 L | +18.5wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 35c | 155.28$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.95 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fde…b480backed Yes | 8c | 150$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…b0c6backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…0a6cbacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Yes | 10c | 142.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.21 | 135 | 23%31 W · 104 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…7810backed Yes | 8c | 131.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.98 | 41 | 7.3%3 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed No | 48c | 129.96$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.38 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6400…331abacked Yes | 78c | 129.51$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.68 | 424 | 69.1%293 W · 131 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 9c | 128.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.68 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…1b56backed No | 20c | 127.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 13cpaid | +268.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 17c | 122.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 636 | 56.1%357 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5a…77e5backed Yes | 58c | 120.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.08 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 65c | 109.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.43 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…53d7backed Yes | 79c | 107.35$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…692abacked No | 29c | 105.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.99 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…8a56backed Yes | 75c | 93.18$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 15c | 91.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.3 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6423…2019backed No | 24c | 89.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe211…c34fbacked Yes | 13c | 83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.44 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 55c | 77.72$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.53 | 572 | 32.9%188 W · 384 L | -104.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 31-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 53c | 76.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 56c | 73.24$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.03 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 67c | 72.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdedb…5e54backed No | 14c | 72.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 19c | 70.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…ba5abacked Yes | 75c | 69.42$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 407 | 41.3%168 W · 239 L | +32.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3a…cdddbacked Yes | 74c | 58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…eb47backed No | 39c | 54.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1385…e96abacked Yes | 21c | 52.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 137 | 32.1%44 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3887…9496backed No | 31c | 51.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 243 | 70%170 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 35c | 50.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…ae21backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 353 | 62.9%222 W · 131 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x740e…93a9backed Yes | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…8681backed No | 71c | 46.81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…6f0bbacked Yes | 27c | 46.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeccd…d100backed No | 26c | 43.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 131 | 22.1%29 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb000…e8fabacked No | 45c | 43.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa41a…0fd7backed Yes | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed No | 53c | 39.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 430 | 50.2%216 W · 214 L | +21.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b36…c0e7backed Yes | 60c | 38.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 67c | 37.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e8b7backed Yes | 36c | 37.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 54c | 35.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…6a43backed Yes | 58c | 34.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…517ebacked Yes | 49c | 33.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 1,643 | 27.8%456 W · 1,187 L | +117.6wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61ef…95fcbacked No | 48c | 32.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb2…14d6backed No | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe08a…8d08backed Yes | 38c | 28.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +162.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4d…ee6abacked Yes | 78c | 25.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe13e…935bbacked Yes | 45c | 24.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf466…088fbacked No | 48c | 22.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…fe48backed Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b9…b47fbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4f…8fbcbacked Yes | 76c | 19.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x170f…e72cbacked Yes | 79c | 18.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf3…3c08backed Yes | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d2…0ecfbacked Yes | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 205 | 46.8%96 W · 109 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on March 17?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 82°F or higher on March 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 66-67°F on March 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 68-69°F on March 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on March 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on March 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on March 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.