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Tennis · resolved market

Will Ben Shelton Win ATP Montreal

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,507
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,954

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,507 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7414…72a3backed No32c5,568$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.772245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No70c4,250$2,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,981.4153942.9%231 W · 308 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed Yes68c3,143$2,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.882948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Yes14c2,790$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.41250%6 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked Yes67c1,969$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.77450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Yes26c1,923$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,423.0860753.7%326 W · 281 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x899c…81b0backed Yes13c1,615$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,404.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+199.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed Yes65c1,488$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.635253.8%28 W · 24 L+7.3wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+60.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes10c1,146$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.6722723.8%54 W · 173 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Yes11c1,144$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.2327551.3%141 W · 134 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x788a…a3f7backed Yes21c1,041$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.5119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick4cpaid-56.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ebc…89c8backed Yes9c1,030$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.32532%8 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93d4…7345backed Yes8c999.97$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.98475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+287.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8a6…456cbacked Yes22c891$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.1611656%65 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x520e…0453backed Yes45c866.7$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+124.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x268f…bbd7backed Yes23c861.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.34757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7757…b165backed Yes21c826.02$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d22…827fbacked Yes67c799.99$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.26875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd83b…1ef2backed Yes8c628.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.753345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes12c571.97$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.5210318.4%19 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick13cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7932…5b38backed Yes16c448.31$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.5836157.1%206 W · 155 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No63c395.45$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.255226.9%14 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-42.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed No51c390$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.41136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-37.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b05…46c6backed Yes13c378.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.954452.3%23 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb8a…2562backed Yes40c347.41$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.413831.6%12 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca6…392fbacked Yes7c328.57$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.57250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick9cpaid+614.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbad6…9963backed No39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1173666.7%24 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked No48c294.67$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.9329533.6%99 W · 196 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70a6…a2ebbacked Yes66c294.26$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.99988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick61cpaid+58%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No58c265.23$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.74955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3808…1cd1backed Yes38c263.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.552556%14 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe40a…e4a2backed No50c257.32$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.78757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecae…908ebacked Yes40c248.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43cf…d143backed Yes12c246.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.71428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No63c224.84$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.38540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-47.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No52c219.99$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.672347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa91a…c9e0backed Yes14c214.32$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+614.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No48c210$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.351258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No67c204.28$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.021471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdb5…6210backed Yes7c202.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.985416.7%9 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+105.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b73…174ebacked Yes9c200$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.573158.1%18 W · 13 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+60%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8958…656dbacked No34c174$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c2f…cd3cbacked Yes65c168$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No65c166.41$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.1733851.2%173 W · 165 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2c6…ff70backed Yes50c160.52$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.72650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb146…c098backed No19c144.68$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.821338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-37.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No79c120$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.88854.5%48 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93a0…74debacked Yes11c119$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.912814.3%4 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-45.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd054…2f56backed No53c109.34$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1816…d72bbacked Yes10c105.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.251735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No61c104.13$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.071250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0022…c966backed No33c104.02$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-54.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed No60c103.35$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.547236.1%26 W · 46 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c22…e4dbbacked No60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18c…18c1backed No32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid-12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x210a…423bbacked Yes10c100$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+150%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7114…6432backed Yes32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1fdd…77a4backed No67c98.49$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf83e…4663backed No42c98.47$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.812339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No43c96.15$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.663135.5%11 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-37.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa667…ceb3backed No32c91.18$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.181526.7%4 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.27per pick54cpaid-58.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb41e…11fdbacked No13c90$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.45619.6%11 W · 45 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c62…84fcbacked Yes14c78.57$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.57425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+78.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x065d…a672backed No32c78.12$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4ad…5403backed Yes21c76.71$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick21cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No68c70$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.31258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeed8…35f0backed No73c70$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No68c68$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7616…5bedbacked Yes68c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191080%8 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e9e…71d0backed Yes36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe2d…da35backed No51c45.8$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.242748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No79c44.83$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.421,10352.2%576 W · 527 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64be…7edfbacked Yes67c43.28$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.281662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa52…3607backed No35c41.03$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.366460.9%39 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf3a…cdddbacked No70c40$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc09b…38e2backed Yes32c40$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe13e…98c5backed Yes34c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed6a…aeb9backed Yes52c38.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac08…3f5fbacked Yes67c37.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.313253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+58.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a57…0358backed No58c31.23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3008…3c76backed No58c31.09$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f2…d1f0backed No60c30.86$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c4a…db2bbacked Yes66c29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb924…0803backed Yes68c24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.68862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc723…664ebacked Yes68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x655c…1a00backed Yes68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39b4…fc14backed Yes68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f74…a12fbacked Yes68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa86f…022cbacked Yes68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5b0…f655backed Yes69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43fd…59d3backed Yes68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda71…799dbacked Yes68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd20…6159backed Yes68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26cb…a394backed Yes68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c0c…6316backed Yes67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x17d2…4142backed Yes68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ea0…85b3backed Yes68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8b…b544backed Yes68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b5c…8206backed Yes68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.