Us Politics · resolved market
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6c8504a9b933f1cc856cc9a49517d976aae56c39d20eef00308cf3b2746691c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $138,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fbb…42d9backed No | 78c | 18,769$14,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,188.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed Yes | 29c | 12,709$3,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,669.62 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 56c | 9,852$5,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,332.06 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3f…1a6fbacked Yes | 19c | 7,895$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…a0a8backed No | 79c | 5,580$4,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.87 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed Yes | 44c | 5,555$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.2 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 61cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Yes | 27c | 4,880$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.67 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 41c | 4,873$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.38 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Yes | 44c | 4,444$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 15c | 3,995$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.59 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1057…9ea5backed No | 43c | 3,194$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…1c22backed Yes | 22c | 3,000$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 27c | 2,650$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.36 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ad…5efebacked No | 79c | 2,636$2,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bf…2a6ebacked No | 67c | 2,500$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…1a48backed Yes | 3c | 2,320$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.1 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…da76backed No | 59c | 2,226$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df7…f332backed Yes | 26c | 2,035$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 75c | 2,011$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.8 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e31…454dbacked No | 65c | 1,958$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.45 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Yes | 58c | 1,916$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb436…bb3cbacked No | 46c | 1,833$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.61 | 41 | 82.9%34 W · 7 L | +10.5wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +42%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 27c | 1,707$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.42 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 18c | 1,590$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.79 | 149 | 35.6%53 W · 96 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 17c | 1,445$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.34 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0af4…89b4backed Yes | 27c | 1,332$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.44 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…99adbacked No | 46c | 1,311$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed No | 46c | 1,200$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.79 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 2c | 1,181$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 187 | 25.1%47 W · 140 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…fdecbacked Yes | 28c | 1,156$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd44…1837backed Yes | 3c | 1,038$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 21c | 999.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 31c | 930$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.3 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked Yes | 33c | 834.35$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.7 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | -17.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8f…a3b1backed Yes | 42c | 834.07$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…6fa5backed Yes | 3c | 800$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…e33fbacked Yes | 31c | 734.33$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed No | 50c | 676.65$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.34 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6317…e864backed Yes | 30c | 675$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc77b…a526backed Yes | 31c | 660.44$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.1 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…ab6bbacked No | 66c | 632.56$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed No | 65c | 624.8$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.73 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 600$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 77c | 600$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -13.0wins | -0.28per pick | 55cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xb40d…c72dbacked Yes | 58c | 597.6$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.27 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 74c | 591.37$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.72 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48af…89ccbacked No | 37c | 548.31$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…3796backed No | 70c | 523$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 31.8%35 W · 75 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 122 | 7.4%9 W · 113 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked Yes | 4c | 500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f0…529ebacked Yes | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9995…d0d3backed No | 57c | 495.59$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.58 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…e744backed No | 44c | 471.67$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.08 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 34c | 443.52$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.25 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4805backed Yes | 3c | 434$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae50…0119backed No | 47c | 403.44$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.82 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 7c | 400$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 50c | 400$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 184 | 45.1%83 W · 101 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x060a…563bbacked No | 68c | 384.78$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3d…4dc6backed No | 51c | 380$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.8 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…2d1abacked Yes | 30c | 371.98$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.59 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…59abbacked Yes | 28c | 362.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3e…534ebacked No | 44c | 360$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 5c | 344.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 76 | 5.3%4 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 45c | 326.36$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.87 | 318 | 40.3%128 W · 190 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…23bcbacked No | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…e5fabacked No | 64c | 302.63$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b5…60d5backed Yes | 53c | 290$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e40…224ebacked Yes | 21c | 274$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Yes | 37c | 253.09$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 14c | 250.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 5c | 250$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 40c | 244.91$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.07 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ac…2fc1backed Yes | 26c | 241.11$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 46c | 239.57$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.2 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…bf60backed Yes | 42c | 238.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed Yes | 51c | 238.55$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.49 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked No | 80c | 221.99$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…3572backed No | 78c | 220$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 5c | 211.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 58c | 210.53$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes | 20c | 210$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 39c | 209.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.36 | 336 | 18.5%62 W · 274 L | -46.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -60%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbf…3faebacked No | 51c | 208.53$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…dca6backed No | 79c | 208.06$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5415…2a6ebacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2865…2005backed Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70f5…e0c7backed No | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993b…dedabacked Yes | 30c | 192.38$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…efa3backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…a510backed No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9985…6afabacked No | 64c | 170.31$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 58c | 165.8$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes | 19c | 161$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 18c | 160$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 145 | 28.3%41 W · 104 L | +11.0wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 28?this page
- Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by April 30?No won
- Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 6?No won
- Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by March 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.