TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Beijing Ducks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Beijing Ducksof Liaoning Flying Leopards, Beijing Ducks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,658

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,658 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Beijing Ducks62c16,887$10,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,354.9854251.5%279 W · 263 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Liaoning Flying Leopards38c11,830$4,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,530.1816828.6%48 W · 120 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-37.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards32c4,233$1,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,351.423745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Liaoning Flying Leopards0c3,690$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.661598.2%13 W · 146 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-66.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Liaoning Flying Leopards54c3,680$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked Liaoning Flying Leopards53c3,022$1,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,614.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Beijing Ducks47c2,492$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.5412042.5%51 W · 69 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Beijing Ducks36c1,996$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281.862842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards53c1,880$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002846.4%13 W · 15 L-4.6wins-0.16per pick63cpaid-31.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Beijing Ducks52c1,344$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.0837052.7%195 W · 175 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Beijing Ducks46c1,306$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.3924430.3%74 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Liaoning Flying Leopards36c1,044$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.0826544.5%118 W · 147 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Beijing Ducks52c910.71$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.7110634.9%37 W · 69 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked Beijing Ducks43c897.36$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.492941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Liaoning Flying Leopards64c819.59$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.0528943.6%126 W · 163 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Beijing Ducks25c776.92$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.927031.4%22 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Liaoning Flying Leopards32c764.89$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.2336939.8%147 W · 222 L+1.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Liaoning Flying Leopards48c631.43$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Beijing Ducks24c529.74$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.4535234.7%122 W · 230 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb7b…1476backed Beijing Ducks51c389.05$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.051915.8%3 W · 16 L-4.9wins-0.26per pick41cpaid-71.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Liaoning Flying Leopards52c385$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003458.8%20 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Liaoning Flying Leopards41c381.05$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.015541.8%23 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Beijing Ducks45c343.46$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.681560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+34%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Liaoning Flying Leopards61c335.08$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.34434.1%15 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Beijing Ducks25c304.49$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.491560%9 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+68.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb9e5…1809backed Beijing Ducks51c299.99$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.54540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Liaoning Flying Leopards43c272.81$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.222040%8 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Beijing Ducks54c245.42$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.4434344.3%152 W · 191 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Liaoning Flying Leopards78c241.81$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.884562.2%28 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards36c238.99$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.9218144.2%80 W · 101 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf15…bc03backed Liaoning Flying Leopards45c224.76$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Liaoning Flying Leopards57c219$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.179851%50 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Beijing Ducks48c218$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.9326935.3%95 W · 174 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Beijing Ducks45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11010736.4%39 W · 68 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbd4…31babacked Beijing Ducks74c200$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.18250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-32.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Beijing Ducks60c199$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.715959.3%35 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Liaoning Flying Leopards50c193.26$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.738534.1%29 W · 56 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Beijing Ducks55c187.51$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.162737%10 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards49c184$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.556940.6%28 W · 41 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ec7…1e38backed Beijing Ducks60c163.51$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654136.6%15 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Liaoning Flying Leopards50c152$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.419746.4%45 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards26c150.87$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2210947.7%52 W · 57 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Beijing Ducks28c150$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1082245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Liaoning Flying Leopards44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.097646.1%35 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards52c135.31$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.021838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa7a…899bbacked Beijing Ducks58c131.69$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7420936.4%76 W · 133 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Beijing Ducks48c125$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658760.9%53 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Beijing Ducks46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.42152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Beijing Ducks45c105$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.253135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Beijing Ducks46c104.31$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.331838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-39.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Beijing Ducks42c100.04$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.466663.6%42 W · 24 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Beijing Ducks50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Beijing Ducks48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5213751.1%70 W · 67 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa55d…001ebacked Beijing Ducks51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.04425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60da…a14ebacked Liaoning Flying Leopards51c97.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2695…832abacked Liaoning Flying Leopards51c95.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Liaoning Flying Leopards15c95.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.61346.2%6 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.23per pick23cpaid+42.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Beijing Ducks51c91.08$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.913953.8%21 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb3c…b4f5backed Beijing Ducks59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.751735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cd1…ef5cbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards51c83.18$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.42450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed Liaoning Flying Leopards52c80.32$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.04616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick41cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x56cd…2ddcbacked Beijing Ducks63c79.24$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.244447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Beijing Ducks49c74.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0531446.2%145 W · 169 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea9b…2be5backed Liaoning Flying Leopards35c73.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.31333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-56.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x357a…85a7backed Liaoning Flying Leopards51c72.2$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.82366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards29c70$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.412250%11 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x26ff…807cbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards51c64.31$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.820%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2bba…6596backed Beijing Ducks50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1815…2137backed Liaoning Flying Leopards51c57.57$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc49d…91a8backed Beijing Ducks39c56.72$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.58742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6e3…206fbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards57c52.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Beijing Ducks63c52.43$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.256363.5%40 W · 23 L+7.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Beijing Ducks48c52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.045453.7%29 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Liaoning Flying Leopards47c51.73$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1419748.2%95 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Beijing Ducks45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.346061.7%37 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.510941.3%45 W · 64 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Liaoning Flying Leopards42c49.93$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0925517.6%45 W · 210 L-29.4wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-38.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x7a3d…4d49backed Liaoning Flying Leopards36c49.8$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.892740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd661…2750backed Beijing Ducks30c48.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.153737.8%14 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+45.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Beijing Ducks42c47.95$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8127338.1%104 W · 169 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2de6…e187backed Liaoning Flying Leopards77c45.16$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.78825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-46%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddc6…1c23backed Liaoning Flying Leopards51c42.33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.65650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-34.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Beijing Ducks48c42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.844557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Beijing Ducks48c42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.842441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Beijing Ducks48c41.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.842948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c3…6031backed Beijing Ducks49c40.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6d1…074bbacked Beijing Ducks50c39.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.83043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb15c…c161backed Liaoning Flying Leopards51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-60.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x83d0…c927backed Liaoning Flying Leopards59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201520%3 W · 12 L-4.9wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-66.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Beijing Ducks37c32.18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.18977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.32per pick46cpaid+88.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Beijing Ducks47c31.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6943543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa738…ddedbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.320%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe64b…9cf1backed Beijing Ducks56c29$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.821241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1584…1020backed Liaoning Flying Leopards40c28.08$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde67…a253backed Beijing Ducks48c26.71$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.891030%3 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick59cpaid-50.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x81b0…6592backed Liaoning Flying Leopards49c26.48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.98757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Liaoning Flying Leopards50c25.96$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.98229.1%2 W · 20 L-5.1wins-0.23per pick32cpaid-76%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2280…3780backed Liaoning Flying Leopards58c24.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.994264.3%27 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb69f…d51cbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards70c23.59$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.54944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick63cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Liaoning Flying Leopards57c23.05$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.092045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.