Tennis · resolved market
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Marta Kostyuk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1eea5e1c99b58c78f0d8b3a7eb512c810a8f2a7049f933d3846703fdc1107cb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elena Rybakinaof Elena Rybakina, Marta Kostyuk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $177,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,885 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Marta Kostyuk | 9c | 13,388$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.68 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d58…1aeabacked Marta Kostyuk | 8c | 10,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 80 | 31.3%25 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Marta Kostyuk | 12c | 5,526$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.45 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Marta Kostyuk | 7c | 4,911$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.92 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Marta Kostyuk | 0c | 4,302$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Marta Kostyuk | 19c | 4,126$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.39 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Marta Kostyuk | 21c | 4,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.98 | 239 | 45.6%109 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Marta Kostyuk | 20c | 3,999$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.74 | 192 | 41.1%79 W · 113 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Marta Kostyuk | 13c | 2,693$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.24 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Marta Kostyuk | 10c | 2,500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Marta Kostyuk | 22c | 1,500$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.99 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Marta Kostyuk | 20c | 1,491$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.08 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Marta Kostyuk | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 18.4%14 W · 62 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…fef0backed Marta Kostyuk | 16c | 1,289$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 226 | 34.5%78 W · 148 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Elena Rybakina | 80c | 1,266$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.53 | 600 | 55.7%334 W · 266 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…ca81backed Marta Kostyuk | 9c | 1,196$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.62 | 217 | 20.3%44 W · 173 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Marta Kostyuk | 18c | 1,144$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.95 | 131 | 35.9%47 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Marta Kostyuk | 21c | 1,075$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.16 | 278 | 36.3%101 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Marta Kostyuk | 2c | 1,041$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 255 | 0.8%2 W · 253 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Elena Rybakina | 79c | 1,013$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.66 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…1809backed Elena Rybakina | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Elena Rybakina | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 706 | 52.7%372 W · 334 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…b46abacked Marta Kostyuk | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 237 | 35%83 W · 154 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Marta Kostyuk | 12c | 935.21$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.22 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Marta Kostyuk | 19c | 831.61$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.01 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Marta Kostyuk | 19c | 764.27$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.21 | 428 | 39.7%170 W · 258 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed Elena Rybakina | 79c | 758.89$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.89 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…cffdbacked Marta Kostyuk | 15c | 705.98$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.3 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Elena Rybakina | 78c | 700$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 410 | 60.5%248 W · 162 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Marta Kostyuk | 22c | 700$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Marta Kostyuk | 2c | 670.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…d0b9backed Marta Kostyuk | 16c | 641.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.57 | 707 | 29.1%206 W · 501 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Marta Kostyuk | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Marta Kostyuk | 15c | 552.86$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.56 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Marta Kostyuk | 20c | 507$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked Marta Kostyuk | 18c | 504.72$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.75 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Marta Kostyuk | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b64…a351backed Elena Rybakina | 79c | 471.24$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.24 | 352 | 68.2%240 W · 112 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Marta Kostyuk | 18c | 451.46$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.87 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Marta Kostyuk | 19c | 450$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Marta Kostyuk | 21c | 445.04$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.46 | 567 | 57.1%324 W · 243 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Marta Kostyuk | 20c | 392.42$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.25 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a75…fc33backed Marta Kostyuk | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Elena Rybakina | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 247 | 47.4%117 W · 130 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d0…39f3backed Elena Rybakina | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Marta Kostyuk | 15c | 379.73$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.06 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Marta Kostyuk | 21c | 335.39$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.24 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marta Kostyuk | 5c | 299.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee4c…8572backed Marta Kostyuk | 12c | 257.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 234 | 29.1%68 W · 166 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Elena Rybakina | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd76…22febacked Elena Rybakina | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c5…d03abacked Elena Rybakina | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Marta Kostyuk | 22c | 249.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…21f7backed Elena Rybakina | 80c | 248.03$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.61 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Marta Kostyuk | 17c | 240.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Marta Kostyuk | 20c | 236.32$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.26 | 661 | 39.3%260 W · 401 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Marta Kostyuk | 20c | 230$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Elena Rybakina | 79c | 200.34$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.07 | 294 | 61.9%182 W · 112 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f15…650dbacked Elena Rybakina | 80c | 187.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 157 | 62.4%98 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Elena Rybakina | 80c | 187.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Marta Kostyuk | 18c | 180$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Marta Kostyuk | 9c | 179.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Marta Kostyuk | 16c | 171.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Marta Kostyuk | 20c | 147.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Marta Kostyuk | 20c | 138.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4544…9995backed Elena Rybakina | 79c | 136.25$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.61 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed Elena Rybakina | 79c | 130.53$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +41%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Elena Rybakina | 77c | 128.6$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4569…2854backed Marta Kostyuk | 20c | 127.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x112e…0d1fbacked Elena Rybakina | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 349 | 65%227 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…7040backed Elena Rybakina | 79c | 126.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb06…4ababacked Elena Rybakina | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 287 | 54%155 W · 132 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Marta Kostyuk | 16c | 119.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Marta Kostyuk | 20c | 113.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Marta Kostyuk | 14c | 112$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Elena Rybakina | 76c | 103$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Marta Kostyuk | 20c | 102.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Elena Rybakina | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 210 | 72.4%152 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Marta Kostyuk | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Marta Kostyuk | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 689 | 51.1%352 W · 337 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Elena Rybakina | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0dd…677bbacked Elena Rybakina | 79c | 88.61$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Marta Kostyuk | 19c | 87.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Marta Kostyuk | 24c | 80.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca2…1aa0backed Elena Rybakina | 79c | 70.35$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Marta Kostyuk | 22c | 66.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Marta Kostyuk | 20c | 64.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 594 | 40.2%239 W · 355 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Elena Rybakina | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 749 | 61.8%463 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x627f…595cbacked Elena Rybakina | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 124 | 77.4%96 W · 28 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…ab39backed Elena Rybakina | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…097ebacked Marta Kostyuk | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…c5aabacked Elena Rybakina | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Marta Kostyuk | 23c | 57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…1f2abacked Elena Rybakina | 79c | 56.51$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | -14.3wins | -0.12per pick | 74cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x615f…5f37backed Elena Rybakina | 80c | 55.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Elena Rybakina | 80c | 54.35$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Elena Rybakina | 79c | 53.94$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 474 | 47.9%227 W · 247 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed9d…9dbbbacked Elena Rybakina | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 24 | 87.5%21 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 74cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Elena Rybakina | 78c | 46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb172…ffa1backed Marta Kostyuk | 23c | 45.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 148 | 28.4%42 W · 106 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Marta Kostyukthis page
- Rybakina vs. Kostyuk: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Rybakina vs. Kostyuk: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
- Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Kostyuk (+1.5)Rybakina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.