TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe91a…71f5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Middle East, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2540%10 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-38.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.81
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.98
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.23
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$6.04
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$9.41
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.13
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$4.95
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.44
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.67
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.96
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.04
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$15.04
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$41.83
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.9
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.61
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.01
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.2
Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.03
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.68
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$9.92
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.1
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+83.9%+$76.62
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.39
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.7
All 25 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+100.5%+$46.22
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.67
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.78
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$21.07
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.41
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.31
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.87
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$27.72
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$44.7
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$11.49
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$27.72
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.63
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.67
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+285.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+84%+$29.72
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+486.7%+$84.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Josh Hokit win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$84.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 15-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+99.5%+$22.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.07
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.