TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2b96…a6d5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT2454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+69.1%+$14.83
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.6
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.6
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.5
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$66.77
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Panama leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.18
England vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.45
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.44
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$38.18
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.52
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$47.93
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.31
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.75
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)backed Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+150%+$45
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+89.4%+$29.48
Will Spain win on 2026-06-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will China PR win on 2026-06-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-05-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.08
All 24 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.88
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$35.76
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+63.7%+$12.83
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+105.8%+$60.83
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+93.5%+$26.51
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.76
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+81.5%+$23.16
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.93
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$73.45
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
World Championships: Norway vs. Latviabacked Latvia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.22
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.24
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.98
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$7.57
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$40.79
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$11.67
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.71
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-74.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+91.1%+$13.49
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$17.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempobacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.