MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0caa80b7c6fd9bba9b0a5d44b7ed27c1c696698f24fdf7e380a58598e5d077b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,862
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 54c | 6,767$3,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,654.17 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 46c | 4,334$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340.52 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 38c | 1,925$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.52 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Under | 55c | 1,827$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Over | 46c | 1,691$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.99 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 46c | 1,472$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.72 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 59c | 1,295$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.21 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 54c | 1,088$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.52 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Over | 47c | 1,016$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.56 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 47c | 1,003$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.95 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 57c | 846.18$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.71 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 46c | 840$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.6 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 46c | 760.97$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.93 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 53c | 678.14$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.69 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 45c | 646.05$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.33 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 636.36$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 60c | 586.78$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.02 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 45c | 506.87$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.78 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 60c | 495.13$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.74 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Under | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 35c | 461.56$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.42 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 58c | 454.97$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.22 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Over | 47c | 430$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.9 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under | 37c | 357.64$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.34 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 46c | 349.84$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.92 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 54c | 328$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.12 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Over | 24c | 300$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 229 | 48%110 W · 119 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Over | 45c | 238.46$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.15 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Under | 54c | 234.3$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.52 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…2751backed Over | 65c | 230$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.83 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ad…dffebacked Under | 59c | 170.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 51c | 142.22$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Over | 61c | 139.3$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.33 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dec…c92dbacked Under | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 135.87$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.44 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 37c | 117.88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 44c | 105.34$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Under | 58c | 93.52$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5068…13a1backed Under | 37c | 89.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 61c | 87.71$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Over | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 47c | 78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 47c | 73.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 45c | 67.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98a…5da6backed Under | 54c | 61.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 54c | 54.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Over | 71c | 52.64$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0469…5eb0backed Over | 46c | 50.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Over | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -16.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 46c | 47.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…85e2backed Under | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 46c | 46.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a8…eb35backed Under | 55c | 46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f4…3e21backed Over | 47c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 250 | 34.8%87 W · 163 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 76c | 41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa25a…04b7backed Under | 55c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…4ee3backed Under | 54c | 38.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…a6d5backed Over | 70c | 25.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 65c | 24.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 64c | 22.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Under | 59c | 18.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 476 | 46.2%220 W · 256 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 71c | 18.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe10…4800backed Over | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5this page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado RockiesChicago Cubs won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 8.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado RockiesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.