World Politics · resolved market
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x156d09518baa9facc4debb6c388251430b5e8832bdf01e1996ddaedaf4f991f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d1…4c60backed No | 11c | 13,282$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.6 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 11c | 4,165$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.23 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 5c | 2,533$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.49 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -87.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 10c | 2,438$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.9 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 18c | 2,086$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.38 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 10c | 1,981$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.95 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 15c | 1,591$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.98 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed No | 11c | 1,571$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.85 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked No | 14c | 1,550$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.01 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 11c | 1,452$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.09 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8958…656dbacked No | 12c | 1,443$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.06 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…9999backed No | 11c | 1,251$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45ac…d2bbbacked No | 14c | 1,229$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815a…af37backed No | 12c | 1,228$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.37 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 4c | 1,145$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 16c | 1,045$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.79 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…12eebacked No | 20c | 1,004$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 16c | 985.31$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.01 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 10c | 973.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 10c | 950$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 55c | 915.2$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.36 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3872…bb1dbacked No | 12c | 908.7$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.04 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 8c | 821.18$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 6c | 753.45$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 76 | 18.4%14 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 8c | 749.66$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.65 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed No | 17c | 699.97$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 23c | 658.03$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.79 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 15c | 570$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.76 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 10c | 569.69$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 9c | 550.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 25c | 525$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.39 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4504…e77dbacked No | 10c | 510$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d58…b7bcbacked No | 20c | 500.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 73c | 444.84$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.16 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 6c | 388.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 12c | 385.45$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 17c | 379$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.13 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 6c | 366$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 15c | 350.87$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 15c | 344$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 285 | 58.9%168 W · 117 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 12c | 335.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 16c | 332.42$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 9c | 331.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 11c | 329.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b10…a159backed No | 14c | 325$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 12c | 324.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3338…1f1dbacked No | 10c | 321.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 9c | 321.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1ac6backed Yes | 53c | 317.15$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.06 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +8.9wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab0…06fdbacked No | 18c | 316.58$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 14c | 288.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 8c | 288.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…b23ebacked Yes | 72c | 278.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 12c | 276$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 12c | 273.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 13c | 273.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 36c | 267.03$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.61 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -32.3wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb11d…a6c5backed No | 13c | 238.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 10c | 226.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 167 | 6.6%11 W · 156 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 12c | 210.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf864…7fb5backed No | 11c | 210.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3188…9e6cbacked No | 5c | 208.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 46c | 200$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed No | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 55 | 5.5%3 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -92.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed No | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 110 | 20.9%23 W · 87 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2213…492cbacked No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 11c | 193.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d48…678cbacked No | 25c | 184.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 10c | 182.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…dbabbacked No | 18c | 180.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 8c | 179.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 14c | 171.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 146 | 37%54 W · 92 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 8c | 169.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf616…656dbacked No | 25c | 168.88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5backed No | 12c | 168.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked No | 25c | 147.38$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 302 | 33.8%102 W · 200 L | +19.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 9c | 137.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…1323backed No | 20c | 128$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 12c | 121$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 36c | 118$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 17c | 107.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xead3…b125backed No | 45c | 104.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3797…8be6backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a9…339ebacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…016abacked No | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b05…cc22backed No | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74aa…2c3fbacked No | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff44…fa58backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…a6d5backed No | 44c | 91.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed No | 25c | 90$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 20c | 89.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 38c | 87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed No | 25c | 79.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked No | 29c | 79.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…967cbacked No | 21c | 76.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 37c | 75.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?this page
- Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?No won
- Will Fred M'membe win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.