NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb662193e0cfa9fa92ce7a5db442acfef5c064b6f2b9419c7b3f2e157463927c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Under | 57c | 24,015$13,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,326.64 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 42c | 17,720$7,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,421.8 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 43c | 14,000$6,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,020 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 58c | 8,914$5,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,731.12 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 43c | 4,832$2,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,077.63 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 59c | 2,754$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.41 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 42c | 2,723$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.83 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…2f5ebacked Under | 58c | 2,624$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…96e2backed Under | 58c | 2,084$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 41c | 1,615$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.71 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 58c | 1,275$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.77 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Over | 43c | 1,156$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 55c | 1,086$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.79 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 41c | 729.55$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 42c | 722.98$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.65 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…0a3fbacked Under | 58c | 617.29$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 48c | 519.65$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.26 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 58c | 501.68$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.71 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ff…473dbacked Under | 58c | 474.48$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8b…6a9fbacked Under | 59c | 305.08$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 48c | 247.72$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…35e1backed Under | 58c | 241.38$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 63c | 228.77$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.36 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1907…85b9backed Under | 58c | 228.43$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 43c | 212.67$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.45 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 45c | 208.87$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.78 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Over | 10c | 171.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 53c | 167.63$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.68 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 28c | 162.34$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 62c | 125$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…09eabacked Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 52c | 112.02$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 58c | 107$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.41 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 41c | 102.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Over | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Under | 52c | 94.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.13 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 40c | 93.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 13c | 93.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 57c | 92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.56 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Under | 54c | 90.89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.71 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…52abbacked Over | 41c | 80.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 42c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 208 | 55.8%116 W · 92 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…6ee5backed Under | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb0…34ecbacked Over | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 36c | 71.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec5…4168backed Under | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 42c | 54.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Under | 55c | 54.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 43c | 50.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6265…0d9fbacked Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…4db8backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 59c | 42.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e50…8d90backed Under | 69c | 35.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…4b8fbacked Over | 46c | 35.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Over | 42c | 34.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…a6d5backed Under | 61c | 32.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Under | 58c | 30.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 42c | 30.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbf…d227backed Over | 53c | 28.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Under | 57c | 27.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 71 | 67.6%48 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 64c | 27.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…252abacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8130…5a50backed Over | 49c | 24.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Over | 43c | 24.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…7b57backed Over | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Under | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 54c | 19.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5this page
- Hurricanes vs. Golden KnightsHurricanes won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 2.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-2.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-2.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-3.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.