NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4aecc882c1c85a166b0d527264b60bcffad5f1eb153edae8424a6ce6013272b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 77c | 7,725$5,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,920.21 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 78c | 4,053$3,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,181.02 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Under | 22c | 3,980$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,104.08 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 36c | 3,883$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.17 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 18c | 2,781$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,272.75 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 78c | 2,601$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.25 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…5816backed Under | 23c | 2,580$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb5…7ce9backed Under | 22c | 2,565$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.65 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 77c | 2,121$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.48 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Over | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…86d2backed Under | 56c | 1,777$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.36 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 40c | 1,658$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.8 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 17c | 1,500$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 10c | 1,118$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.29 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Over | 45c | 1,105$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.94 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 18c | 1,052$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +217.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 67c | 932.16$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.17 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 47c | 909.45$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.6 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 44c | 798.09$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.66 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Under | 19c | 750$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 46c | 729.82$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.98 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Under | 18c | 666$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.12 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9762…73fbbacked Over | 78c | 576.92$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 22c | 574.62$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.2 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 22c | 521$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.38 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…96e2backed Over | 33c | 474.07$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd6…81f6backed Over | 78c | 383.73$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.99 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 74cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 41c | 380.7$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.72 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.28per pick | 64cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Over | 79c | 273.37$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.96 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 60c | 231.33$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.24 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 31c | 227.48$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.19 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca0…d5f8backed Under | 45c | 222.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.59 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 19c | 200$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 16c | 180.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.24 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 36c | 177.21$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.41 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Under | 53c | 159.93$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.77 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 42c | 153$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 41c | 144$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 18c | 132.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 35c | 125.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x140b…d0d9backed Over | 79c | 121.91$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0615…d288backed Under | 77c | 113.16$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Under | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 55c | 82.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 41c | 72.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.02 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d1…a991backed Under | 67c | 67.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 27c | 65.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.19 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb487…34f8backed Over | 77c | 64.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…fd49backed Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Over | 78c | 62.49$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbf…d227backed Over | 26c | 54.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 78c | 50.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 42c | 49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbb…d3e9backed Under | 54c | 47.89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Over | 47c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 75c | 42.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…aed7backed Under | 80c | 36.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa219…60e8backed Under | 42c | 35.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 32c | 34.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…181dbacked Under | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 44c | 32.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34e6…e673backed Under | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Over | 48c | 25.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e42…2294backed Over | 79c | 25.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…7409backed Under | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee8…ae98backed Over | 76c | 22.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…6168backed Over | 59c | 21.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Over | 78c | 19.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5this page
- Hurricanes vs. Golden KnightsHurricanes won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 2.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-2.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-2.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-3.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.