Premier League · resolved market
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49f31f2a397c3f11880c811090eae0c9df70354164800839a8559fd7ee71e88f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,834
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,834 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3151…206dbacked Over | 71c | 6,384$4,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 31c | 5,289$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.51 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde05…1ababacked Over | 71c | 2,242$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 1,852$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.83 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 55c | 1,038$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.25 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 29c | 521.14$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.64 | 1,636 | 52.9%866 W · 770 L | +32.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Over | 73c | 174.28$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.23 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…aab9backed Over | 72c | 157.91$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdddd…6777backed Over | 72c | 150.04$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 28c | 136.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 28c | 132.77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Over | 71c | 129.48$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 32c | 118.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Under | 37c | 106.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Under | 28c | 104$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked Under | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Over | 40c | 87.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.79 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +45%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 44c | 77.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Under | 29c | 75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 70c | 71.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea77…686ebacked Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 71c | 69.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Under | 29c | 69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 72c | 68.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 30c | 56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…4dd4backed Under | 60c | 50.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Over | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 48c | 49.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 72c | 49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e70…205ebacked Over | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8d…dcfabacked Over | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +177.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Over | 50c | 40.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 29c | 35.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaead…12e1backed Over | 73c | 34.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…7bc0backed Under | 41c | 30.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Over | 53c | 29.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Over | 80c | 29.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +17.2wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Over | 72c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…2044backed Over | 71c | 28.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 75cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…55e7backed Over | 73c | 27.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked Over | 70c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed Over | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed Over | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b3…27babacked Over | 72c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc157…bd5cbacked Over | 72c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Over | 57c | 21.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38ee…012fbacked Over | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb224…fedbbacked Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d9…7ae8backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed Over | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Over | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…1000backed Over | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed Over | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)Portsmouth FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.