Premier League · resolved market
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeeaf05edbab98378d3db1d6287e22069c1c67af401554a696dc95ec3215eb4e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 60c | 3,777$2,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.8 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +12.1wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +125%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 3,433$2,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.56 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 2,136$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.83 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 23c | 1,500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 24c | 1,042$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…01a3backed Over | 25c | 892$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea6…32d9backed Over | 25c | 861$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x673d…e929backed Under | 76c | 677$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ae…8598backed Over | 24c | 648$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a16…0c03backed Under | 75c | 606$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6a…21c3backed Under | 76c | 596$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +110.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd824…528bbacked Under | 75c | 590$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b2…9d96backed Over | 24c | 564$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…44c2backed Under | 75c | 557$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…8e51backed Over | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 23c | 348.1$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.62 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 77c | 242.97$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…22cfbacked Over | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Over | 23c | 184$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8213…48a3backed Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Over | 25c | 95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.9wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6e…94edbacked Under | 60c | 94.96$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed Over | 23c | 89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd69d…fe68backed Under | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 76c | 78$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6e…326cbacked Over | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.26per pick | 38cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 25c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 29c | 41.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…7bc0backed Under | 79c | 38.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Under | 57c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 74c | 36.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd2…b368backed Under | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed Under | 77c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked Under | 75c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed Under | 77c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked Under | 77c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…aaf4backed Under | 79c | 26.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -8.6wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…bcb1backed Under | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Under | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 80c | 22.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc9…801ebacked Under | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…fe4bbacked Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b3…626abacked Under | 79c | 19.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Under | 64c | 19.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Under | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed Under | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under | 59c | 17.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed Under | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x370a…cccebacked Under | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 77c | 13.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.14 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -29%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x96ae…89d9backed Under | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…dc9bbacked Under | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…3bbdbacked Under | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 165 | 44.2%73 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)Portsmouth FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.