NHL · resolved market
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1db9388d10c63e9593d7e439a0564077a7f958bbdff25593ace891a176546a56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden Knightsof Avalanche, Golden Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Avalanche | 41c | 25,142$10,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,248.49 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Golden Knights | 60c | 17,223$10,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,889.33 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Golden Knights | 58c | 14,620$8,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,140.34 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c5…1d81backed Avalanche | 40c | 12,029$4,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,811.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Golden Knights | 59c | 8,552$5,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,506.51 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Avalanche | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Golden Knights | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Avalanche | 42c | 2,936$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.12 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Golden Knights | 60c | 2,817$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.51 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Golden Knights | 60c | 2,018$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.08 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Avalanche | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Avalanche | 41c | 1,978$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.84 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Golden Knights | 60c | 1,960$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.4 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Avalanche | 42c | 1,516$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.88 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Avalanche | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.99 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Golden Knights | 60c | 1,482$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.82 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Golden Knights | 60c | 1,321$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.52 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Golden Knights | 60c | 1,100$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Golden Knights | 59c | 1,100$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.26 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Avalanche | 31c | 1,001$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.91 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Golden Knights | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Golden Knights | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Avalanche | 40c | 839.38$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.35 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Avalanche | 38c | 827.6$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.49 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Avalanche | 4c | 728.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Golden Knights | 61c | 689.21$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.43 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Golden Knights | 59c | 661.86$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.08 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c7…5d22backed Avalanche | 25c | 639.15$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +14.8wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Avalanche | 40c | 626.78$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.71 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 610.14$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.26 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Golden Knights | 61c | 508.2$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.2 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Avalanche | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Avalanche | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Golden Knights | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Golden Knights | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Golden Knights | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Avalanche | 41c | 491.76$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.62 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Golden Knights | 58c | 479.53$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.99 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Avalanche | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Golden Knights | 60c | 360.05$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.02 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Golden Knights | 62c | 352$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.45 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Golden Knights | 59c | 341$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.81 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…23e4backed Golden Knights | 56c | 305.36$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.36 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Golden Knights | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 208 | 55.8%116 W · 92 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…712dbacked Avalanche | 42c | 297$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Golden Knights | 58c | 294$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.48 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Golden Knights | 61c | 266.14$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Avalanche | 40c | 260$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdddd…6777backed Avalanche | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb74…1d50backed Avalanche | 39c | 250$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc451…958cbacked Avalanche | 40c | 249.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…d9c3backed Avalanche | 42c | 230$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Golden Knights | 60c | 200.02$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.01 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Avalanche | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a2…1053backed Golden Knights | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Golden Knights | 58c | 184.3$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.68 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b0…4055backed Avalanche | 40c | 174.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…fd79backed Avalanche | 42c | 170.5$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.71 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 167.79$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.47 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Avalanche | 40c | 154.87$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 165 | 54.5%90 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Golden Knights | 66c | 151.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Avalanche | 42c | 140$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Golden Knights | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Avalanche | 43c | 130$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5322…a5dcbacked Golden Knights | 60c | 125.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Avalanche | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 115.52$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.52 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Avalanche | 29c | 106$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…5ff2backed Avalanche | 40c | 100.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Golden Knights | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 457 | 56.2%257 W · 200 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b1…5c24backed Avalanche | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ae…1e53backed Avalanche | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7d…695fbacked Avalanche | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Golden Knights | 59c | 94.3$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.66 | 477 | 53.9%257 W · 220 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Avalanche | 41c | 93.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.12 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Avalanche | 34c | 90.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Avalanche | 40c | 90.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed Avalanche | 36c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Golden Knights | 61c | 89.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Avalanche | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Avalanche | 40c | 87.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Golden Knights | 59c | 85.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Golden Knights | 59c | 83.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed Golden Knights | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Golden Knights | 59c | 78.54$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Golden Knights | 58c | 77.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…fd16backed Avalanche | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Avalanche | 35c | 73.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ca…b3f3backed Avalanche | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505d…6c61backed Golden Knights | 59c | 69.9$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Golden Knights | 60c | 68$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd45d…105abacked Golden Knights | 60c | 65.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…0f76backed Avalanche | 42c | 65.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Golden Knights | 61c | 63.93$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8118…8c36backed Avalanche | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…480abacked Avalanche | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 62.48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x951b…291abacked Avalanche | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf9…d796backed Avalanche | 40c | 57.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Avalanche | 29c | 57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)this page
- Golden Knights vs. AvalancheGolden Knights won
- Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Under won
- Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.