TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xedf9…d796

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: UFC, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT2123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astrosbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Colorado Rockies vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.83
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$23.11
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$68.11
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+400.5%+$100.11
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$39.77
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Bulls (-5.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$21.54
Clippers vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Hawks (-8.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-39.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-4.5)backed Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoevenbacked Rico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Kathy" or "Hochul" during NYC rally?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.