TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$152,207
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$154,466

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,207 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over55c39,661$21,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,940.921,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under45c34,064$15,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,798.064,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Over55c30,193$16,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,606.2323948.5%116 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under44c13,345$5,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,473.33050%15 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+25.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under46c11,942$5,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,486.4511,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Under44c11,528$5,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,455.582626.9%7 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under45c10,403$4,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,721.462,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Over57c8,772$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00016548.5%80 W · 85 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Over56c7,050$3,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,94843554%235 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6498…8910backed Under57c7,000$3,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,020.0851756.5%292 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Under44c6,335$2,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,547.6319546.2%90 W · 105 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over56c6,000$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,36021748.4%105 W · 112 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Over56c4,941$2,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,758.1444851.6%231 W · 217 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over35c4,243$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,495.245853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under45c4,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.955,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under43c3,582$1,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,041.444,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over17c3,209$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.7712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xced2…d98abacked Under45c3,112$1,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7263145.2%14 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under43c2,135$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.081,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0a1…3e3dbacked Under56c1,920$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.33250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0a1…7ae9backed Over57c1,491$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over56c1,400$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78415942.1%67 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under44c1,193$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.081,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over43c1,115$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.958,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under44c1,067$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.3577951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5501,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Over56c880$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.689053.1%473 W · 417 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Over57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005457.4%31 W · 23 L+7.4wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+40.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under46c733.38$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.533,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over33c693.42$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.8213345.9%61 W · 72 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under43c589.54$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.586,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b5d…7501backed Under51c576.04$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.042751.9%14 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Under45c540$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over16c481.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.921,08356.3%610 W · 473 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under45c380.66$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.3656851.4%292 W · 276 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Over54c380$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.248354.7%264 W · 219 L+20.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3a5…cd84backed Over57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010046%46 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over56c311.55$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.4713441%55 W · 79 L-12.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16599447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dfd…b845backed Over56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16826860.4%162 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over31c287.88$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.288,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over56c280.03$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.421,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b95…5733backed Over61c278.71$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.0121055.2%116 W · 94 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Over55c272.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012852.3%67 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bfa…8b61backed Over56c267.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018356.8%104 W · 79 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under48c250.16$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.321,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf9f…4bc7backed Over57c222.39$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1141,00148.3%483 W · 518 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8fd…3e24backed Over55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11011047.3%52 W · 58 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac24…576ebacked Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022948%110 W · 119 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under44c172.64$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.121,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under43c172$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.041,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd786…a8a1backed Over55c150$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.51838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under44c130.72$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.222,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Over55c125$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7532850%164 W · 164 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6136…96cbbacked Over57c120.27$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.044153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over64c118$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.035,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x49ae…dc88backed Under43c114$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.983852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under40c108.97$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4244745.6%204 W · 243 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba90…a450backed Under46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.73650%18 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa23c…ae92backed Over57c105.26$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6016251.9%84 W · 78 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.51,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16f3…e1eebacked Under44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5611256.3%63 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a0c…14cebacked Over55c91.66$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6514555.9%81 W · 64 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under43c90.01$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.28,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2342…12d6backed Over56c89.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1613853.6%74 W · 64 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e8…9cf2backed Over57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under44c83.5$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7678155.6%434 W · 347 L+28.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under61c81.78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.995,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c8e…22c3backed Under40c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452466.7%16 W · 8 L+5.2wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+58.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xedf9…d796backed Over41c73.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51d7…516dbacked Under44c67.73$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.932962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff68…8379backed Over60c66.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4026940.5%109 W · 160 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under53c66.04$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0447549.7%236 W · 239 L+17.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over47c63$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.316,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Under44c62.4$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7299744.1%440 W · 557 L-38.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Over56c62$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8650748.7%247 W · 260 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23bd…12ccbacked Over54c60.15$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under58c56.81$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.022,54545.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1fa…9611backed Under44c50.95$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.533040%12 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd2d…d7f8backed Over57c47.93$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.323234.4%11 W · 21 L-5.8wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-31.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Under53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1727646.7%129 W · 147 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25c1…7e8ebacked Over56c47.05$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3519654.1%106 W · 90 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5587…5737backed Over55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259951.5%51 W · 48 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x000a…6cf7backed Over61c43.48$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5225260.7%153 W · 99 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x95fa…bf35backed Over56c40.98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.955644.6%25 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66fe…42c6backed Over59c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.62250%11 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb208…e0b2backed Over55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208457.1%48 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf9a…9903backed Over56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x282b…cc76backed Over56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012646.8%59 W · 67 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc85…aa54backed Over55c35.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3324243%104 W · 138 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2766…b43ebacked Over57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f06…3e6ebacked Over37c33.52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.564226.2%11 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-42.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x80bd…7acdbacked Over60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+69.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over36c30.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.11,17329%340 W · 833 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8263…e0f1backed Over53c27.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7934754.8%190 W · 157 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over55c27.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156847.1%32 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0c1…601ebacked Over55c25.11$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.812045%9 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Over55c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7555643.9%244 W · 312 L-38.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6291…16e1backed Over60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.