MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90166b30eaaf0a80d735741d7df781a9fda92ede1f57ec92d28f0e10c03449e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $152,207
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $154,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,207 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 55c | 39,661$21,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,940.92 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 45c | 34,064$15,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,798.06 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Over | 55c | 30,193$16,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,606.23 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Under | 44c | 13,345$5,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,473.3 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 46c | 11,942$5,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,486.45 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed Under | 44c | 11,528$5,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,455.58 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 45c | 10,403$4,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,721.46 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Over | 57c | 8,772$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Over | 56c | 7,050$3,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,948 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Under | 57c | 7,000$3,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,020.08 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Under | 44c | 6,335$2,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,547.63 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Over | 56c | 4,941$2,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,758.14 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over | 35c | 4,243$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.24 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.95 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 43c | 3,582$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.44 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 17c | 3,209$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.77 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…d98abacked Under | 45c | 3,112$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 43c | 2,135$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.08 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a1…3e3dbacked Under | 56c | 1,920$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a1…7ae9backed Over | 57c | 1,491$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 56c | 1,400$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 44c | 1,193$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.08 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 1,115$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.95 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 44c | 1,067$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.35 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Over | 56c | 880$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.6 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Over | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 46c | 733.38$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.53 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 33c | 693.42$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.82 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 43c | 589.54$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.58 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…7501backed Under | 51c | 576.04$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.04 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Under | 45c | 540$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 16c | 481.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.92 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 45c | 380.66$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.36 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Over | 54c | 380$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.2 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…cd84backed Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 56c | 311.55$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.47 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Over | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 268 | 60.4%162 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 31c | 287.88$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.28 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 56c | 280.03$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.42 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b95…5733backed Over | 61c | 278.71$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.01 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Over | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfa…8b61backed Over | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 48c | 250.16$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.32 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9f…4bc7backed Over | 57c | 222.39$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…3e24backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 229 | 48%110 W · 119 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 44c | 172.64$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.12 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 43c | 172$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.04 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…a8a1backed Over | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 44c | 130.72$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.22 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Over | 55c | 125$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…96cbbacked Over | 57c | 120.27$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.04 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 64c | 118$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.03 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ae…dc88backed Under | 43c | 114$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.98 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 40c | 108.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.42 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba90…a450backed Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa23c…ae92backed Over | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f3…e1eebacked Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Over | 55c | 91.66$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 43c | 90.01$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…12d6backed Over | 56c | 89.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 138 | 53.6%74 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e8…9cf2backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 44c | 83.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.76 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 61c | 81.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed Under | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +5.2wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xedf9…d796backed Over | 41c | 73.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…516dbacked Under | 44c | 67.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff68…8379backed Over | 60c | 66.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 47c | 63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 44c | 62.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Over | 56c | 62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23bd…12ccbacked Over | 54c | 60.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 58c | 56.81$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…9611backed Under | 44c | 50.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Over | 57c | 47.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -5.8wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 276 | 46.7%129 W · 147 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c1…7e8ebacked Over | 56c | 47.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…5737backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000a…6cf7backed Over | 61c | 43.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 252 | 60.7%153 W · 99 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95fa…bf35backed Over | 56c | 40.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…42c6backed Over | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb208…e0b2backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9a…9903backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed Over | 55c | 35.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 242 | 43%104 W · 138 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2766…b43ebacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…3e6ebacked Over | 37c | 33.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80bd…7acdbacked Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 36c | 30.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8263…e0f1backed Over | 53c | 27.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c1…601ebacked Over | 55c | 25.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Over | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…16e1backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5this page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago CubsSan Francisco Giants won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 3.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 4.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 5.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-3.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-4.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago CubsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.