TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$109,903
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,582

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,903 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224a…a3d5backed Spurs49c29,523$14,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,439.8610944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47bc…9504backed Knicks52c20,000$10,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,599.995459.3%32 W · 22 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+27.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Spurs47c19,592$9,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,268.2585742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Knicks54c19,187$10,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,800.5530551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Knicks51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,90020744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed Knicks37c9,773$3,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,157.2111447.4%54 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Spurs63c5,483$3,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,436.3425352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Spurs48c5,025$2,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,405.2955251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Spurs25c4,465$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.1942842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs27c4,419$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173.438,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd24f…d0a8backed Spurs63c4,386$2,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,768.4130%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs62c3,564$2,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,221.1364948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Knicks50c2,679$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,345.961,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks36c2,632$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,674.116,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks47c2,087$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.7152150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c6…eeb6backed Knicks65c1,990$1,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.994344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8854…0d9cbacked Spurs64c1,899$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.531442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed Knicks37c1,899$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.593652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs33c1,610$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.953842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Spurs16c1,508$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.4193148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Knicks68c1,406$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.162,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Spurs19c1,318$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.2221848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks39c1,209$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.631,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ef…b630backed Spurs18c1,208$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.472615.4%4 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fcd…e3d7backed Spurs63c1,175$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.28742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Knicks71c1,130$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.2236051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d48…66abbacked Spurs63c1,027$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64712651.6%65 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Knicks36c1,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64066352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Knicks53c993.8$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.0712055.8%67 W · 53 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Knicks36c800.05$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.611,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Spurs17c799.99$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13436243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa62a…f05bbacked Spurs68c645.32$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.613158.1%18 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Spurs62c594.53$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.1684443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Spurs64c593.75$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38019951.8%103 W · 96 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7d6…cab5backed Spurs63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31516750.3%84 W · 83 L-12.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Spurs40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Knicks37c443.37$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.621,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Knicks69c439.51$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.621,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Knicks37c436.96$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.651,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Knicks38c420.32$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.519959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Knicks71c413.46$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.946959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x66fe…42c6backed Spurs64c388.24$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-43.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Knicks71c386.72$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.8825150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Knicks72c380.25$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.4718557.3%106 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Knicks65c369.11$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.1960250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Knicks38c349.98$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.498355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b95…5733backed Knicks51c348.92$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.471963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Knicks67c315.18$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.9552861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Knicks66c308.14$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.7732654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Knicks71c292.34$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.657152.1%37 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07ea…aab9backed Spurs64c267.2$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.011942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ad8…8a2cbacked Knicks38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.162763%17 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Knicks37c254.99$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.6430448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Knicks54c243.47$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.327553.5%147 W · 128 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45e1…5934backed Knicks70c243.02$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.681560%9 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick75cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Spurs42c227.73$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8268838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Spurs22c222.82$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3830842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Spurs31c218.5$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6622753.3%121 W · 106 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc302…7409backed Spurs64c216.66$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.665846.6%27 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4eea…a24dbacked Spurs62c211.35$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.7930%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Knicks72c208$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.241,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Spurs42c208$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3665762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc44b…5accbacked Spurs49c203.46$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Knicks37c200$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12718653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf3b…38dbbacked Spurs60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206126.2%16 W · 45 L-12.9wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-51.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xd795…6fcdbacked Knicks66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+53.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Spurs33c193.96$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.011,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3894…decfbacked Knicks55c190.69$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.445350.9%27 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x517b…be02backed Knicks32c181.25$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.253339.4%13 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+32.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Spurs16c180$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.741,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Spurs49c179.98$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5915044.7%67 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Spurs50c167.98$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2525340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x920e…7873backed Spurs63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011645.7%53 W · 63 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdd35…c85ebacked Spurs64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007347.9%35 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdddd…6777backed Spurs64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Knicks65c146.82$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3410152.5%53 W · 48 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Knicks36c142.02$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.8912146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Knicks36c140$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8960049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed Knicks71c131.04$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.811471.4%10 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick75cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Spurs62c130$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.626755.1%147 W · 120 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Knicks69c125.64$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8221953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Spurs30c121$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9345445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Spurs23c120$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.623441.5%97 W · 137 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Knicks72c119$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.321,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs64c118.67$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.954,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Spurs48c117.61$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.459628.1%27 W · 69 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x92c4…ffc4backed Spurs49c116.33$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Spurs25c109$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5519548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Knicks36c106.77$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.3310548.6%51 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x926f…f72ebacked Knicks38c105.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.265042%21 W · 29 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x90bb…531fbacked Spurs23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98be…5794backed Knicks40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603878.9%30 W · 8 L+13.2wins+0.35per pick44cpaid+73.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x000a…6cf7backed Knicks54c93.34$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.572152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4ea…b369backed Knicks38c92.11$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.113100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+122.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4964…4e66backed Spurs64c91.19$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.362231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-47.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdc85…aa54backed Knicks53c91.07$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.771656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeea8…0412backed Spurs50c88$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4416251.9%84 W · 78 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8263…e0f1backed Knicks58c80.49$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.592748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dca…d0afbacked Spurs63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502528%7 W · 18 L-5.4wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-41.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Spurs54c73.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9616429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.