UFC · resolved market
O/U 2.5 Rounds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b22520d184d3e919ef898a20fe58bd775c195ee07000c3b070b431c3b6679d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Under | 71c | 857.75$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.16 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Over | 29c | 803.79$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.1 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbc…d4adbacked Over | 42c | 317.73$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.43 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Under | 56c | 315.91$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Over | 43c | 313.63$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…aab9backed Under | 71c | 210.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.16 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…f087backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 25c | 154.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.13 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Under | 54c | 152.35$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.08 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 46c | 146.8$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.46 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdddd…6777backed Under | 69c | 144.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.74 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…7453backed Over | 44c | 135.13$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d19…296ebacked Under | 69c | 127.53$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 55c | 106.67$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 107 | 54.2%58 W · 49 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x143b…27dcbacked Over | 45c | 106.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce7c…17cfbacked Under | 58c | 86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe665…79bbbacked Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…94febacked Under | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Over | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d2…4268backed Under | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Under | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2355…572dbacked Under | 56c | 41.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 35c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 175 | 24%42 W · 133 L | -22.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5992…2ad0backed Under | 55c | 37.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 30c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8229…64e6backed Under | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…f13abacked Under | 55c | 34.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…4db8backed Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…40adbacked Under | 55c | 33.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…cbc8backed Under | 57c | 32.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e37…ac4abacked Under | 55c | 31.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5da1…60b6backed Under | 57c | 31.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8711…d2a7backed Under | 57c | 31.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x563d…94cabacked Under | 57c | 30.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4c…745bbacked Under | 57c | 30.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70e…bed7backed Under | 56c | 30.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…90e5backed Under | 56c | 29.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x744a…8045backed Under | 55c | 29.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…35a1backed Under | 55c | 29.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…d900backed Under | 57c | 29.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4141…b90fbacked Under | 55c | 29.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5206backed Under | 55c | 28.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…adc3backed Under | 55c | 28.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4324…174bbacked Under | 55c | 27.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…cc49backed Under | 56c | 27.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…df55backed Under | 57c | 27.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…594cbacked Under | 55c | 27.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x960a…42f1backed Under | 55c | 27.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae70…8194backed Under | 56c | 26.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 54c | 26.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Over | 46c | 26.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97cf…ad38backed Under | 57c | 25.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcb…0694backed Under | 57c | 25.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f7…5f39backed Under | 56c | 25.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddf…3ff6backed Under | 56c | 24.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…6365backed Under | 56c | 24.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6833…bb84backed Under | 55c | 24.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…24a8backed Under | 56c | 24.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6384…f6f5backed Under | 56c | 23.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f46…9f54backed Under | 56c | 23.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fd…8914backed Under | 57c | 23.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c38…c255backed Under | 56c | 23.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7f…7fbcbacked Under | 56c | 23.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bc…afb5backed Under | 56c | 23.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2052…d016backed Under | 57c | 23.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5276…8000backed Under | 57c | 23.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x441c…17ecbacked Under | 56c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc153…3f71backed Under | 56c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64dc…e416backed Under | 57c | 22.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5b…59b8backed Under | 56c | 22.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…5fe3backed Under | 57c | 22.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca7…0720backed Under | 57c | 22.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5c…0380backed Under | 55c | 22.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e9…03ebbacked Under | 55c | 22.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…15f2backed Under | 56c | 22.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…3b98backed Under | 56c | 22.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90bd…cc0abacked Under | 55c | 22.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd8…5069backed Under | 56c | 22.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…a79cbacked Under | 56c | 22.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42a…31d2backed Under | 55c | 21.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8772…349ebacked Under | 55c | 21.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b5…43f1backed Under | 56c | 21.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a6…f5d9backed Under | 56c | 21.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9683…7009backed Under | 56c | 21.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc8…8179backed Under | 55c | 21.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23e0…9778backed Under | 56c | 21.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6f…44e9backed Under | 56c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0008…c072backed Under | 56c | 20.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e5…7347backed Under | 56c | 20.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad0…db4dbacked Under | 57c | 20.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5574…f9fbbacked Under | 56c | 20.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42d…4d66backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 2.5 Roundsthis page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)Bo Nickal won
- Will Bo Nickal win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will Kyle Daukaus win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.