TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,551
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,516

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,551 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc807…c12bbacked Under57c11,296$6,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,857.116352.4%33 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Under62c11,106$6,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,271.23754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over22c8,447$1,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,869.662,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over39c7,907$3,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,066.8651550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over43c6,912$2,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9722,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over41c6,577$2,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,702.7717247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf984…5098backed Under60c4,844$2,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,915.0210647.2%50 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Under79c4,158$3,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.913158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+51.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Over21c3,001$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.359431.9%30 W · 64 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over39c2,200$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86926154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Over43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86026750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8af…03c2backed Under58c1,681$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.896750.7%34 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over38c1,513$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.682,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceb1…bd4fbacked Over1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15120%0 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over21c1,495$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.7631828.3%90 W · 228 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over42c1,287$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.7222946.3%106 W · 123 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed Over42c1,262$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f6d…71b4backed Under44c1,234$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.04837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8bd…87aebacked Under61c976.65$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.03250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over36c941.49$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.393,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over40c875$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35083149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over42c709.23$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.8838849.5%192 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over43c702.5$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.081,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over30c683.72$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.421,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Over43c600.77$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.337448.6%36 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over43c552$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.3631848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Under60c550.02$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.137755.8%43 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked Under66c530.62$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.414060%24 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a30…e0c1backed Over29c510.99$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.19560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+59.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x047c…3ce4backed Under58c504.21$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.771855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under64c491.55$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.5225449.6%126 W · 128 L-15.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Under59c477.72$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.42528%7 W · 18 L-4.4wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-48.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over42c464$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.9614551%74 W · 71 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under57c459.97$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.7933554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Under74c431.71$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.8217442.5%74 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbffb…a60ebacked Under66c405.11$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.15475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fff…3a96backed Over48c402.81$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Over44c399.5$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.783943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f85…7e17backed Under54c360.15$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.671172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+34.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4e4…4a19backed Under72c351.07$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.223375.8%25 W · 8 L+5.1wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe438…d8adbacked Under80c344.81$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.96580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick75cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under64c328.27$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.925141.2%21 W · 30 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over43c313$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.5938147.2%180 W · 201 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over50c308.46$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.2356553.6%303 W · 262 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e11…e1f5backed Over30c272.98$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.02714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick51cpaid-81.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under51c237.22$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.6441050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over43c229.86$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8453849.4%266 W · 272 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81fd…1cd0backed Under60c223.09$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.24757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Over23c222.65$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5310540%42 W · 63 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over22c219.06$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5829533.6%99 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over26c211.9$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3234547.8%165 W · 180 L-1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Under46c210.35$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.598451.2%43 W · 41 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf01…6e5bbacked Over33c201.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-40.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over32c199.96$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.41,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over44c196.53$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4738551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x45ec…12eebacked Over51c191.48$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.092755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0daa…c9dabacked Under59c189.44$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.451050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc494…543cbacked Under46c183.73$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.911747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Over44c181.17$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.827152.1%37 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Under57c170.99$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.162142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc302…7409backed Under66c168.57$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.312744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over43c165.58$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.250251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under60c163.45$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.8715157.6%87 W · 64 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under70c161.91$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5561848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under57c156.75$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.476950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over47c153.2$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7789355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x902f…fb2dbacked Over42c150.67$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.743961.5%24 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadc3…d089backed Over24c150.59$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+76.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07ea…aab9backed Under66c148.04$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.332055%11 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1979…c15cbacked Over30c147.83$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.06520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdddd…6777backed Under68c143.76$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.672152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under76c137.16$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.882,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Over27c136.38$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3711557.4%66 W · 49 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over43c135.21$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1427659.4%164 W · 112 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over30c128.93$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.336734.3%23 W · 44 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…1259backed Under66c123.93$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.141850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a11…db4bbacked Under69c122.3$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.714153.9%76 W · 65 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over43c119$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1712355.3%68 W · 55 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0c8…007bbacked Under66c117.36$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over31c111.31$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0838447.4%182 W · 202 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5599…326dbacked Under67c110.5$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.977363%46 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over36c104.43$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4221463.1%135 W · 79 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x30d8…49a3backed Under66c103.76$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.281442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Over43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.486743.3%29 W · 38 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Under57c99.37$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7321549.3%106 W · 109 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Over29c92.92$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.79944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Over31c91.54$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.774252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked Over31c83.85$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d7…d801backed Under59c82.66$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.893961.5%24 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Over23c74.17$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7712758.3%74 W · 53 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x399d…415cbacked Over45c72.53$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.642166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6733…acb9backed Over44c71.19$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.071844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10e9…d331backed Under59c69.44$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under60c67.06$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5849851%254 W · 244 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a4d…4c76backed Over43c66.75$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.73154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over43c66$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3886049.2%423 W · 437 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0764…41d1backed Over46c59.13$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.314254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed Under57c58.95$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17dc…aff8backed Under71c57.81$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.538937.1%33 W · 56 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.