NHL · resolved market
Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9574ff4a27a7647a6571d05ef855290b211bb6b7de7a05683274f419d2e243e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,011
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,011 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 19c | 363.03$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.22 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 59c | 346.4$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.45 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 77c | 305.66$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.56 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 28c | 261.8$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.96 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 71c | 245.29$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.98 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc494…543cbacked Under | 21c | 186.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45ec…12eebacked Under | 52c | 185.51$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.14 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d3…aafbbacked Under | 26c | 154.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 57c | 116.5$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 62c | 106.39$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 39c | 103.9$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.52 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Over | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc118…54c2backed Over | 77c | 96.03$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Over | 78c | 88.56$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 66c | 86.12$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 64c | 82.4$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 39c | 57.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a82…8fadbacked Under | 51c | 53.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 52c | 50.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 40c | 48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Under | 25c | 47.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f91…d069backed Over | 79c | 42.79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3a…978cbacked Over | 79c | 42.41$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Over | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Under | 31c | 39.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb19a…1b94backed Over | 79c | 37.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…df55backed Over | 79c | 34.12$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 70cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…1104backed Over | 78c | 31.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2120…50c4backed Over | 79c | 29.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +47%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…e021backed Over | 79c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c9…1ec6backed Under | 50c | 28.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5206backed Over | 79c | 26.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe2…49d1backed Over | 79c | 26.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8c…7a0cbacked Over | 79c | 26.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…bcc2backed Over | 77c | 25.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…7310backed Over | 79c | 24.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb130…7767backed Over | 79c | 24.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…c707backed Over | 79c | 23.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2768…6bc6backed Over | 79c | 22.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8eebbacked Over | 79c | 22.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d8…f4f1backed Over | 79c | 21.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe933…0abcbacked Over | 79c | 21.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424d…b21dbacked Over | 79c | 20.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f0…0f04backed Over | 79c | 20.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4725…6253backed Over | 79c | 19.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e9…b5fdbacked Over | 79c | 19.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d83…3ceabacked Over | 79c | 19.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e77…09b8backed Over | 79c | 19.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32c5…436cbacked Over | 79c | 19.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x390e…4fb7backed Over | 79c | 18.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e37…ac4abacked Over | 79c | 18.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x221d…83c0backed Over | 79c | 18.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…a5f9backed Over | 79c | 18.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…88a0backed Over | 79c | 17.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f7…5ae3backed Over | 79c | 17.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0359…2572backed Over | 79c | 16.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…2ef8backed Over | 79c | 15.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Golden Knights won
- Utah vs. Golden KnightsGolden Knights won
- Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Over won
- Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Under won
- Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.