TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Golden Knightsof Golden Knights, Utah
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,955
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,783

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,955 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4e9c…1fcabacked Golden Knights39c11,641$4,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,071.473237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Utah62c4,468$2,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,769.8859450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Utah56c3,477$1,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,947.230%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Utah78c3,394$2,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,640.882,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Golden Knights44c3,072$1,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,720.7751550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Utah61c2,205$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344.92,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Golden Knights9c1,835$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,676.9226154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Golden Knights36c940.96$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.2226849.6%133 W · 135 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Golden Knights9c813.19$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7409562.1%59 W · 36 L+9.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Utah64c760.33$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.6122946.3%106 W · 123 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e11…e1f5backed Utah48c702.99$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.43714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick51cpaid-81.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Golden Knights14c572.77$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.5810743%46 W · 61 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Utah63c535.68$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.4826750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Utah62c534.74$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.541,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab11…53efbacked Utah65c534.68$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb7c…8eabbacked Golden Knights37c520.24$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.811245.5%51 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf97…6106backed Golden Knights38c519.91$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Utah57c482.73$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.2192049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Utah59c432$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.8834547.8%165 W · 180 L-1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Utah60c400$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23838447.4%182 W · 202 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Utah48c399.53$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.782857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Utah70c375.39$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.771,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Golden Knights38c286.96$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.48549.4%42 W · 43 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Golden Knights32c283.03$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1710540%42 W · 63 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Utah46c245.91$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.362,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Utah49c242.93$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.7429533.6%99 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Golden Knights47c230.43$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.131,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf50…b426backed Golden Knights36c224.37$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.61936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+25.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Golden Knights35c221.54$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1441060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+33.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1110…f2d7backed Utah57c171.13$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.421346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Utah62c169.86$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.933,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Utah49c169.66$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.385240.4%21 W · 31 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Golden Knights35c159.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.9933554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Utah58c155.82$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9851343.3%222 W · 291 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09ae…004ebacked Golden Knights32c153.44$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.8515535.5%55 W · 100 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e6b…1afbbacked Utah65c150.62$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.92231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-33.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Golden Knights34c137.5$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.22236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Golden Knights29c127.52$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.6447024%113 W · 357 L-44.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-32.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Utah65c120.49$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3281157.2%464 W · 347 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Utah64c117.02$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.891,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa77a…e6f9backed Utah67c116.69$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4315145%68 W · 83 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Golden Knights44c109.82$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.57038.6%27 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Utah55c102.39$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6441050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x016c…df21backed Golden Knights50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Utah63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6320450%102 W · 102 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1b8…437cbacked Utah55c99.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510650.9%54 W · 52 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f42…8680backed Utah65c89.47$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.152548%12 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid+25.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Utah59c80$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.225345.5%115 W · 138 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Utah65c76.81$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9354260.3%327 W · 215 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdf4…c6ccbacked Utah65c75.31$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.957145.1%32 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x514f…1fa1backed Utah61c73.51$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked Utah65c66.27$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0833660.7%204 W · 132 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Golden Knights45c62.1$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.235551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Utah64c60.78$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.913841.3%57 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb81e…8ab9backed Utah65c60.7$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4523063%145 W · 85 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cf5…31f9backed Utah56c60.42$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Golden Knights31c59.46$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9949851%254 W · 244 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Utah65c52.72$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2740162.1%249 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Golden Knights38c51.73$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.214427.3%12 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf60…dd8dbacked Golden Knights36c50.59$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.38728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70ca…ba27backed Golden Knights36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+64.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Utah64c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3250251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Utah56c49.56$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7561848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d84…a7bdbacked Utah64c48.92$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.314355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Golden Knights38c48.29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8121463.1%135 W · 79 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Utah70c45.32$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.781,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6762…a9a5backed Utah57c44.22$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0310260.8%62 W · 40 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Golden Knights26c39.14$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.97152.1%37 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ba8…c73ebacked Golden Knights36c34.51$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.09633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Utah64c34.38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2245151.2%231 W · 220 L+16.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Utah65c31.63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5669061.6%425 W · 265 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked Utah62c31.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.545556.4%31 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Utah55c30.83$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.882,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…581bbacked Utah65c30.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5815160.9%92 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50fd…ee77backed Utah65c30.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5822763.4%144 W · 83 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc45d…de2fbacked Utah65c30.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5819548.2%94 W · 101 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x68cc…e8c8backed Utah65c30.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5816959.8%101 W · 68 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Utah63c29.19$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3976950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb213…49e1backed Golden Knights47c24.76$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.124151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20fe…884cbacked Utah65c22.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.691060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07c9…9f5bbacked Utah65c21.09$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7136561.9%226 W · 139 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8495…df87backed Utah80c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162462.5%15 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick74cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2ca…4419backed Utah72c13.95$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.04560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.