NHL · resolved market
Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd37bdfd79389c09b0c71fb8971cb0c12a706fa585ed47d36af2c0eb1d01e1789
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,221
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,746
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,221 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 26c | 1,281$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.77 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 17c | 1,208$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.98 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Under | 77c | 1,098$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.51 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Over | 23c | 892.42$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.26 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc118…54c2backed Over | 6c | 396.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 74c | 391.95$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.91 | 100 | 66%66 W · 34 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 9c | 275.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 13c | 258.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Under | 77c | 257.42$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.23 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 24c | 201.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.77 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 74c | 186.5$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 17c | 142.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Under | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Over | 18c | 82.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 93 | 21.5%20 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…a813backed Under | 77c | 63.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 75cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5599…326dbacked Under | 78c | 63.35$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f3…2c21backed Under | 78c | 62.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…6886backed Under | 78c | 59.22$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 21c | 47.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3f…0513backed Under | 77c | 44.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd1…7e42backed Under | 78c | 41.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 77c | 40.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec81…c2f4backed Under | 76c | 33.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…c5d2backed Under | 79c | 32.58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…415cbacked Under | 79c | 29.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa57f…930ebacked Under | 78c | 29.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Under | 75c | 23.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…c5a4backed Under | 76c | 19.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 75cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 74c | 19.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077b…11d4backed Under | 77c | 18.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc815…13b7backed Under | 76c | 18.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…18c6backed Under | 79c | 14.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.11 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6eca…87dabacked Under | 78c | 14.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.26 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb29b…5568backed Under | 78c | 14.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.26 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5this page
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Golden Knights won
- Utah vs. Golden KnightsGolden Knights won
- Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5Over won
- Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Over won
- Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.