TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,228
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,793

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,228 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc807…c12bbacked Under46c28,720$13,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,211.076352.4%33 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Over54c10,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,6006640.9%27 W · 39 L-7.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over52c8,848$4,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,212.0651550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over54c5,676$3,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,610.932,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over53c2,270$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.41,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under56c2,045$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.212,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed Over50c1,986$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.986750.7%34 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under46c1,798$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.2340356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over54c1,740$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.461959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Under1c1,626$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.939321.5%20 W · 73 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over54c1,554$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.8431848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0daa…c9dabacked Under51c1,342$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.451050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over54c1,145$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.925855.2%32 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over56c731.09$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.247256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Over70c721.97$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.144252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over45c696.34$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.162,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd2d1…aa33backed Under50c693.7$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.432462.5%15 W · 9 L+4.8wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+55.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over45c527.11$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.861,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc42d…8fbfbacked Under26c509.55$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under44c507$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.0810846.3%50 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Over54c496.73$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.57448.6%36 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Under47c491.92$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.27925.3%20 W · 59 L-7.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-31%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Under54c462.05$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.973253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over53c461.72$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.0110663.2%67 W · 39 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over47c452.98$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.796734.3%23 W · 44 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over51c445.57$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.4189355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Over54c431.75$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.636349%178 W · 185 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over54c403.37$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.554951%25 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Over53c360.27$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.81933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-41.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under43c353.88$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.153,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Under42c341.81$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.812142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under49c319.38$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.4761848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x592d…0af1backed Under62c315.36$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x45ec…12eebacked Under64c306.92$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.652755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over45c277.61$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.782,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under60c277.37$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.925449.6%126 W · 128 L-15.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4e4…4a19backed Under65c273.08$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.183375.8%25 W · 8 L+5.1wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over66c250$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-40.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over54c199.97$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.7976950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Under64c197$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.7411950.4%60 W · 59 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf006…21c4backed Under46c193.52$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d43…0af4backed Over55c190.6$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe438…d8adbacked Under66c188.79$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.6580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick75cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a77…4fcfbacked Under43c183.21$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.783650%18 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab0…6364backed Over54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.83650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7c9…1ec6backed Under65c176.72$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.191656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbffb…a60ebacked Under62c157.72$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.19475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5495…fc8cbacked Over66c149.14$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ca…e926backed Over39c147.66$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.85475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+55.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over48c144.9$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.6849851%254 W · 244 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over54c142.76$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.6712355.3%68 W · 55 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under46c119.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1933554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc494…543cbacked Under50c116.98$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.191747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over54c112.8$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8927659.4%164 W · 112 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over36c109.3$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4341340%165 W · 248 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under28c103.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6521463.1%135 W · 79 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over61c99.7$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8838551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under54c98.71$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.293228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under39c96.83$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.95141.2%21 W · 30 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc8b…f894backed Under47c93.15$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.78520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over57c88.71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5712357.7%71 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x20f3…2c21backed Under47c87.14$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.951866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under21c84.14$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4734547.8%165 W · 180 L-1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c7e…8301backed Under36c77.88$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.943348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under45c74.1$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3550251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4884…6886backed Under47c72.62$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.131963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked Over40c72.3$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.38757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over57c71.6$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.028469%58 W · 26 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e6b…1afbbacked Over55c70.76$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.842231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-33.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over75c68.5$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8392049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa57f…930ebacked Under47c65.54$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.81353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa64f…e598backed Over46c63.3$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.893366.7%22 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe67…dd7ebacked Over27c62.65$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.731323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Over53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.220350.7%103 W · 100 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17e9…dc76backed Under27c58.7$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x399d…415cbacked Under47c58.08$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.152166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over54c56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7686049.2%423 W · 437 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x902f…fb2dbacked Under58c55.8$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.23961.5%24 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Under46c55.64$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.598845.5%40 W · 48 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a4d…4c76backed Over54c55.19$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.393154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Over40c54.71$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.823943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over63c53.89$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.891,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Over46c53.56$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.077152.1%37 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Over39c53.28$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.526849.6%133 W · 135 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1d7…18c6backed Under47c52.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.752272.7%16 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Under47c51.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2111054.5%60 W · 50 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under45c50.01$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2543250.9%220 W · 212 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Over54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2324442.6%104 W · 140 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Under43c48.66$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.923857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over55c48.65$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8942750.8%217 W · 210 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5788…fb06backed Under50c48.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.251163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed Over41c45.58$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.864168.3%28 W · 13 L+6.3wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2551…217cbacked Under47c45.31$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.31752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c76…2632backed Under38c44.94$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.888850%44 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c3f…0513backed Under47c43.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.481866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bd1…7e42backed Under47c43.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.482171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xff77…1be5backed Over48c40.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.99580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+59.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x32eb…f531backed Over57c36.23$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.62887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick66cpaid+28.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Over40c36.15$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.696743.3%29 W · 38 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Over55c35.03$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7610447.1%49 W · 55 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.