TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,113
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,202

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,113 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over44c5,353$2,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,355.541842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under59c4,382$2,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,790.562,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fb…8feebacked Under58c3,607$2,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,531.5119050.5%96 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under56c2,222$1,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.6886649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over41c1,774$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.742,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over41c1,136$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.8626154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under56c810$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.442948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under58c472.96$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.881,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over40c456.92$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.7738849.5%192 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over40c438$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.283149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over38c428.28$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.163,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over44c399.98$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.9976950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde19…e90dbacked Over62c372.71$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over40c370.58$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.3882353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Over41c361.17$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.0810846.3%50 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Under62c360.46$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.4617442.5%74 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under59c338.25$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.2525449.6%126 W · 128 L-15.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over42c283$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.8631848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over42c238$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0853849.4%266 W · 272 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over44c219.98$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7933554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under60c208.64$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.942,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under44c202$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.1810851.9%56 W · 52 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07ea…aab9backed Under60c174.85$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.942055%11 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Over42c168.49$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7112551.2%64 W · 61 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over42c166.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7019141.9%80 W · 111 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdddd…6777backed Under60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.672152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over44c160.45$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.65959.3%35 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over17c150.75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.082,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over40c133$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7386049.2%423 W · 437 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Under57c131.58$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5811253.6%60 W · 52 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb07e…2b92backed Under57c131.58$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.58955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-0.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb51f…2fccbacked Over76c120.3$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.83666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick71cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under50c105$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.516546.7%77 W · 88 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over38c104.51$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.281,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under68c98$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3461848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over41c96.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.711,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c08…af98backed Under56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2933756.4%190 W · 147 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over39c88.83$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6458352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Over44c81$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.641,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x448d…3adebacked Over44c79.14$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.823053.3%16 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over29c78$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.621,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under65c70$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.841,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over38c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.860449.2%297 W · 307 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5fd…b476backed Over44c57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.085345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under56c56.74$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.977448.6%36 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba9…4fa1backed Under42c52.66$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.458349.4%41 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8cc…015bbacked Over51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.52343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over37c49.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.341050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under54c49.97$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9821155.5%117 W · 94 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Under78c47.13$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.145269.2%36 W · 16 L+8.9wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+34.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over28c44.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5834547.8%165 W · 180 L-1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c2b…02e8backed Over42c44.74$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.791631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-44%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Under39c43.54$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.418964%57 W · 32 L+8.7wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0ec9…2f29backed Over44c43.52$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.151770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+47.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Under69c42.04$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0312763.8%81 W · 46 L+10.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x847e…235cbacked Under38c40$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+44.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5be6…738dbacked Under55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Under33c38.55$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.835961%36 W · 23 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over42c38.14$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0289355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9923…9ee0backed Under56c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07f5…702abacked Over45c33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.85250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over42c32.32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5745651.5%235 W · 221 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8560…3c33backed Under56c32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.083100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over42c31.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5927659.4%164 W · 112 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f0c…a98fbacked Over40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.85757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37f1…19a0backed Under38c28.95$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.953964.1%25 W · 14 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf30…8b95backed Under50c28.94$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.474443.2%19 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc7f…e354backed Under55c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.63100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x92ba…6008backed Under55c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6382…e507backed Under55c26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x220b…147bbacked Under56c26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc97…44acbacked Over44c25.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.431172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+26.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5599…326dbacked Under58c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.867363%46 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Over44c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1111152.3%58 W · 53 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeccf…beebbacked Over45c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ae0…923bbacked Over45c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaa8…1f51backed Under56c23.68$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.51757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+95%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb6f…f414backed Over43c23.44$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.183850%19 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under56c21.94$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.686753.7%36 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f98…ec35backed Under56c21.39$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.414856.3%27 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cd5…5bd0backed Under55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9dc…0922backed Under55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under53c19.94$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3249851%254 W · 244 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8262…58dcbacked Under55c19$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.