NHL · resolved market
Spread: Flyers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf07bc9d947a273f2dae0b9910226883cdc71f6f69b2b1549b38915d0ab7088b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hurricanesof Flyers, Hurricanes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,049
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1925…4654backed Hurricanes | 64c | 65,000$41,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,399.99 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Flyers | 36c | 51,599$18,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,575.74 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Flyers | 36c | 8,347$3,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,004.81 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Flyers | 36c | 4,437$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.26 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Hurricanes | 67c | 1,997$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.94 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Hurricanes | 64c | 1,492$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.15 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Flyers | 33c | 1,030$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.09 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Hurricanes | 65c | 823.22$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.64 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked Flyers | 27c | 792.48$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.97 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Flyers | 28c | 777.97$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.83 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Hurricanes | 68c | 777.2$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.2 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Flyers | 35c | 759.19$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.72 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Flyers | 32c | 668.27$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.85 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Hurricanes | 73c | 476.51$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.75 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Hurricanes | 68c | 431.33$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.47 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Hurricanes | 65c | 403.8$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.16 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Flyers | 29c | 356.63$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.42 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54c6…9e92backed Flyers | 36c | 268.71$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Hurricanes | 64c | 262.4$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.46 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Flyers | 32c | 249.39$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.81 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8106…bd36backed Flyers | 36c | 191.68$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Hurricanes | 65c | 180.74$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.26 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Flyers | 12c | 164.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Hurricanes | 65c | 143.82$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.69 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e4…361abacked Flyers | 34c | 111.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Flyers | 29c | 95.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Flyers | 35c | 94.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7192…7000backed Flyers | 34c | 84.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81a5…3e71backed Flyers | 36c | 80.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Flyers | 21c | 79.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Flyers | 25c | 69.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed Hurricanes | 66c | 69.42$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…8ddabacked Flyers | 28c | 68.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Flyers | 36c | 66.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 397 | 51.1%203 W · 194 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Hurricanes | 64c | 64.23$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Flyers | 25c | 61.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Hurricanes | 66c | 60.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Hurricanes | 64c | 58.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 477 | 53.9%257 W · 220 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Hurricanes | 65c | 52.72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5b…3999backed Hurricanes | 65c | 52.72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Flyers | 36c | 48.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Hurricanes | 65c | 45.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb969…5b6bbacked Flyers | 36c | 42.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d9…34b4backed Flyers | 35c | 41.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Flyers | 36c | 38.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…e7d1backed Flyers | 35c | 38.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6f…f414backed Flyers | 36c | 36.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c8…999bbacked Flyers | 36c | 30.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2b…02e8backed Hurricanes | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3e…7547backed Flyers | 65c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Hurricanes | 75c | 13.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.49 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Flyers (-1.5)this page
- Hurricanes vs. FlyersFlyers won
- Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.