NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba138cb9bbba756c1ff71ae885ceb921fcb92e21bd8895f72f76123d6babcb50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,599
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,599 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 55c | 13,741$7,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,556.96 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 45c | 8,584$3,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,721.02 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 4,813$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,647.33 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Over | 55c | 2,199$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.18 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 2,164$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.43 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 55c | 720$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 45c | 718.64$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.25 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Under | 46c | 430.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.16 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 64c | 285.11$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.42 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 55c | 247.65$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.28 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 41c | 223.65$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.84 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Over | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 55c | 183.55$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.95 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Over | 31c | 180.65$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 45c | 167$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.85 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Under | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.57 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 45c | 148.49$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 46c | 93$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Over | 55c | 92.73$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 32c | 92.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 40c | 79.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.97 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Under | 46c | 77.81$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.01 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…2fccbacked Under | 48c | 74.81$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Under | 54c | 69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 44c | 61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 54c | 57.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…9c06backed Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 54c | 49.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 52c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 70c | 46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5b…3999backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 49c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12dc…1100backed Under | 45c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 75c | 37.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 56c | 36.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Over | 69c | 29.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…5463backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Under | 42c | 28.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…7dffbacked Over | 40c | 27.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d2…f6b8backed Over | 55c | 27.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 53c | 20.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5this page
- Hurricanes vs. FlyersFlyers won
- Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Flyers (-1.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.