Tennis · resolved market
Bengaluru 3: Ilya Ivashka vs Alex Hernandez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a2e78e311d1026e8ff127af88de01955939522cfba07926756e14bd2c4a82ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ilya Ivashkaof Ilya Ivashka, Alex Hernandez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Alex Hernandez | 23c | 4,395$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alex Hernandez | 5c | 3,029$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…44b8backed Alex Hernandez | 6c | 2,537$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Alex Hernandez | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 204 | 12.7%26 W · 178 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70e8…776dbacked Alex Hernandez | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4538…7d5cbacked Alex Hernandez | 20c | 1,095$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.01 | 177 | 38.4%68 W · 109 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Ilya Ivashka | 80c | 1,040$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.99 | 567 | 57.1%324 W · 243 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Alex Hernandez | 5c | 1,028$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 445 | 27.2%121 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Alex Hernandez | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Alex Hernandez | 20c | 999.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Alex Hernandez | 17c | 999.97$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79d0…4dffbacked Alex Hernandez | 5c | 788.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 312 | 20.5%64 W · 248 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Alex Hernandez | 2c | 758.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 753 | 12.2%92 W · 661 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Alex Hernandez | 29c | 757.05$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.31 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Alex Hernandez | 4c | 700$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 152 | 25%38 W · 114 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Alex Hernandez | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…d35bbacked Alex Hernandez | 21c | 471.42$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 302 | 35.1%106 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Alex Hernandez | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 160 | 18.1%29 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Alex Hernandez | 17c | 232.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Alex Hernandez | 11c | 230.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…7697backed Alex Hernandez | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +54%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f24…e803backed Alex Hernandez | 22c | 199.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Alex Hernandez | 18c | 198.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7abc…8af1backed Alex Hernandez | 11c | 197.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 85 | 24.7%21 W · 64 L | -14.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Alex Hernandez | 15c | 194.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alex Hernandez | 17c | 180.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…79bfbacked Ilya Ivashka | 78c | 157.91$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Alex Hernandez | 17c | 131.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Ilya Ivashka | 80c | 98.69$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad17…fcadbacked Alex Hernandez | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…0b3bbacked Alex Hernandez | 17c | 77.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 188 | 55.3%104 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa06…74c3backed Ilya Ivashka | 80c | 61.72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 75cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Alex Hernandez | 18c | 60.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Alex Hernandez | 21c | 60.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x692c…aadebacked Alex Hernandez | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Alex Hernandez | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Ilya Ivashka | 80c | 46.41$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Alex Hernandez | 28c | 45.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 678 | 38.3%260 W · 418 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Ilya Ivashka | 78c | 23.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 783 | 50.3%394 W · 389 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Ilya Ivashka | 77c | 22.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Ilya Ivashka | 80c | 20.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.