TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Cervia: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Petr Nesterov

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Buvaysar Gadamauriof Buvaysar Gadamauri, Petr Nesterov
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,660
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,852

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,660 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1491…11d3backed Petr Nesterov5c3,199$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9316133.5%54 W · 107 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Petr Nesterov36c697.99$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.2885634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Petr Nesterov48c672.54$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.788,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Petr Nesterov41c529.02$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.9128835.1%101 W · 187 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Petr Nesterov18c522.46$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Buvaysar Gadamauri40c499.08$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.0887837.2%327 W · 551 L-2.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Buvaysar Gadamauri61c488.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.056,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Buvaysar Gadamauri72c436.53$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.7711,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Buvaysar Gadamauri70c375.98$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.24,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Petr Nesterov54c367.23$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.722,09944.5%935 W · 1,164 L-51.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Petr Nesterov38c343.79$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.582,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab30…88dbbacked Buvaysar Gadamauri60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.335052%26 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7abc…8af1backed Petr Nesterov27c314.22$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.318524.7%21 W · 64 L-14.3wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-48.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xcacf…c5e1backed Petr Nesterov35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1052871.4%20 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3783…171dbacked Petr Nesterov42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12618652.7%98 W · 88 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Buvaysar Gadamauri67c297.99$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.942,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Petr Nesterov5c292.4$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.992,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Buvaysar Gadamauri58c286.26$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.389,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x792d…7363backed Buvaysar Gadamauri43c233.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.333839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a18…61a0backed Buvaysar Gadamauri62c170.54$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5452155.3%288 W · 233 L+27.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x891d…b19fbacked Petr Nesterov9c161.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9121838.1%83 W · 135 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Buvaysar Gadamauri64c153.85$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.391,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Petr Nesterov47c148.94$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7059440.2%239 W · 355 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Buvaysar Gadamauri69c138.96$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.081,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Petr Nesterov24c133.59$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5185624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Petr Nesterov52c131.48$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.943,79854.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L+111.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc468…530fbacked Buvaysar Gadamauri80c104.66$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.949260.9%56 W · 36 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Petr Nesterov36c104.66$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.047,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7c7…3b08backed Buvaysar Gadamauri63c94.53$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5350958%295 W · 214 L-26.5wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee0a…36d8backed Buvaysar Gadamauri64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1338262.3%238 W · 144 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Buvaysar Gadamauri56c69.81$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.765,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58cc…2296backed Petr Nesterov60c66.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014369.9%100 W · 43 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Buvaysar Gadamauri63c56.89$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.053,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Petr Nesterov36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203,26240.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0449…12f9backed Petr Nesterov31c54.86$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.22130%0 W · 13 L-5.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Petr Nesterov42c53.48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.349,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d75…26fbbacked Buvaysar Gadamauri50c50.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3316358.9%96 W · 67 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x17f7…a181backed Petr Nesterov37c48.65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1851347%241 W · 272 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe99…506bbacked Buvaysar Gadamauri64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8867852.1%353 W · 325 L-2.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Buvaysar Gadamauri64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.882,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba1a…85febacked Buvaysar Gadamauri64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8872651.8%376 W · 350 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Petr Nesterov34c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.452,20436.9%813 W · 1,391 L+39.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ded…68a3backed Buvaysar Gadamauri66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4588560.2%533 W · 352 L-13.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ad…1bb3backed Buvaysar Gadamauri78c38.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Buvaysar Gadamauri59c36.11$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.766,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8711…d2d0backed Petr Nesterov58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2043358.4%253 W · 180 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Buvaysar Gadamauri79c30.71$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.472,86849.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L+23.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Buvaysar Gadamauri64c27.91$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.052,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d18…6f62backed Buvaysar Gadamauri63c23.05$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5356062.5%350 W · 210 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa233…dfe8backed Buvaysar Gadamauri57c18.67$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0316350.9%83 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd42e…74b5backed Buvaysar Gadamauri64c15.89$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.724257.1%24 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.