Tennis · resolved market
Geneva Open, Qualification: Max Hans Rehberg vs Francisco Comesana
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a5faf00a1628924b5861673761eee5d2d04064c09bfdaa1c2856b14cd29aedb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Francisco Comesanaof Max Hans Rehberg, Francisco Comesana
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,838
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Francisco Comesana | 71c | 2,384$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.56 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Max Hans Rehberg | 30c | 2,008$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.29 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Max Hans Rehberg | 4c | 1,618$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Max Hans Rehberg | 12c | 1,152$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.65 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Max Hans Rehberg | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f55…2181backed Francisco Comesana | 70c | 980.79$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.24 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Max Hans Rehberg | 12c | 392.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Max Hans Rehberg | 30c | 382.16$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.65 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Max Hans Rehberg | 30c | 333.33$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.99 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Francisco Comesana | 79c | 330.1$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.86 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Francisco Comesana | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abc…8af1backed Max Hans Rehberg | 22c | 268.02$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.21 | 85 | 24.7%21 W · 64 L | -14.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Max Hans Rehberg | 30c | 267.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.14 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1740…529ebacked Max Hans Rehberg | 21c | 235.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Max Hans Rehberg | 23c | 189.96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Francisco Comesana | 70c | 158$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Francisco Comesana | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86aa…0d32backed Francisco Comesana | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Francisco Comesana | 73c | 136.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 168 | 44.6%75 W · 93 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Francisco Comesana | 69c | 131.4$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Max Hans Rehberg | 22c | 120.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee0a…36d8backed Francisco Comesana | 70c | 114.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 382 | 62.3%238 W · 144 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Max Hans Rehberg | 12c | 110.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Max Hans Rehberg | 30c | 97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Max Hans Rehberg | 12c | 92.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Max Hans Rehberg | 26c | 71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x112e…0d1fbacked Francisco Comesana | 70c | 57.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 349 | 65%227 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Max Hans Rehberg | 31c | 53.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 516 | 44.8%231 W · 285 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Francisco Comesana | 70c | 51.43$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 308 | 60.1%185 W · 123 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea47…d64bbacked Max Hans Rehberg | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Francisco Comesana | 76c | 45.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…41e1backed Max Hans Rehberg | 24c | 42.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 371 | 58.8%218 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Francisco Comesana | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Max Hans Rehberg | 30c | 42.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d75…26fbbacked Francisco Comesana | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 163 | 58.9%96 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Francisco Comesana | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Max Hans Rehberg | 31c | 40.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Francisco Comesana | 70c | 38.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78a0…3a2fbacked Max Hans Rehberg | 30c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Max Hans Rehberg | 31c | 33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Francisco Comesana | 73c | 15.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42e…74b5backed Francisco Comesana | 70c | 15.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ff…2506backed Francisco Comesana | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 217 | 59.4%129 W · 88 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.