Fifa International · resolved market
Germany leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8296bfc3a6dff2f96f1865c102ae899ed74ee0267ea24d76abef666daf9170c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $554,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $638,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $554,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 19c | 57,674$11,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,122.58 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 21c | 31,444$6,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,608.75 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 21c | 18,684$3,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,885.4 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 15c | 16,666$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.89 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed No | 17c | 16,530$2,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,810.17 | 203 | 33.5%68 W · 135 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 13c | 15,031$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.98 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 17c | 8,546$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.95 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 14c | 8,386$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.2 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 16c | 7,241$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.02 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 17c | 6,955$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.7 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x284d…59f7backed No | 16c | 6,461$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 15c | 6,073$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.2 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 14c | 5,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 16c | 4,800$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.99 | 258 | 44.6%115 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 15c | 4,656$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.35 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 62c | 4,519$2,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730.97 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed No | 15c | 4,110$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.57 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes | 56c | 3,600$2,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.69 | 226 | 39.4%89 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf64c…c65cbacked No | 45c | 3,218$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.48 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 15c | 3,032$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.74 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x106e…e672backed No | 16c | 2,880$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.8 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 16c | 2,569$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.99 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 22c | 2,512$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.11 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 17c | 2,406$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.79 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…8459backed No | 17c | 2,118$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +212.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 6c | 1,943$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.61 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 16c | 1,892$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.99 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 17c | 1,870$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.9 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed No | 17c | 1,850$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.01 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 19c | 1,827$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.36 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb84…5fb5backed No | 15c | 1,749$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.35 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 17c | 1,716$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.93 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 17c | 1,640$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.07 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 14c | 1,600$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked No | 17c | 1,559$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 66c | 1,510$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.36 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d82…d90abacked Yes | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 17c | 1,450$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.5 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 16c | 1,429$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.06 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 14c | 1,171$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…388ebacked Yes | 50c | 1,081$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.54 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a1…22b8backed Yes | 50c | 1,051$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.5 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 15c | 1,016$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.76 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 17c | 1,006$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.77 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 215 | 42.8%92 W · 123 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…3cbebacked No | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 16c | 996.81$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 14c | 960$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 408 | 48.8%199 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Yes | 53c | 943.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.39 | 279 | 31.9%89 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed No | 25c | 896.76$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.67 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked No | 15c | 871$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.65 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 65c | 853$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.69 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 16c | 826.57$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.25 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ec…267dbacked Yes | 60c | 799.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.7 | 278 | 45.7%127 W · 151 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc260…68dfbacked No | 16c | 793.75$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9e…208cbacked No | 17c | 762.53$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.96 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 63c | 759.71$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.4 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed No | 16c | 737.5$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked No | 16c | 713.06$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.67 | 160 | 65%104 W · 56 L | +16.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…e3c8backed No | 17c | 670$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.9 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed No | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 45c | 661.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.99 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed No | 7c | 651.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 782 | 34.3%268 W · 514 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed Yes | 79c | 632.96$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.92 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed No | 16c | 628.18$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.51 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 18c | 585$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.3 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f5…9c8cbacked Yes | 52c | 567.12$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.22 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 30cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed No | 16c | 544.37$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.1 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed No | 17c | 543.94$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 235 | 52.8%124 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed No | 16c | 537.5$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5e…7761backed No | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x063a…6cfabacked No | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71df…9aa0backed No | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b25…ff39backed No | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes | 61c | 499.97$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.49 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 18c | 482.51$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.34 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed No | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 48c | 427.33$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.06 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 20c | 427.29$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.46 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Yes | 54c | 426.52$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.41 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 56c | 425.54$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.74 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 38c | 401.96$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.04 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked No | 17c | 368.8$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.72 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…5f16backed Yes | 55c | 363.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.69 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Yes | 79c | 359.05$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 324 | 22.5%73 W · 251 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f8…8deebacked No | 22c | 355.82$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 16c | 350$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.65 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3275…b8acbacked Yes | 61c | 328.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.95 | 107 | 62.6%67 W · 40 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…43e5backed Yes | 54c | 320.47$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.1 | 138 | 30.4%42 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 19c | 315.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.62 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 33c | 313.97$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.71 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed No | 5c | 310.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 16c | 299.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…d920backed Yes | 62c | 296.79$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.18 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 48c | 288.4$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.62 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1f41…e6aebacked No | 17c | 285.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 79c | 283.76$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.76 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ed…41b2backed No | 16c | 280.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Germany leading at halftime?this page
- Curaçao leading at halftime?No won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.