Fifa International · resolved market
Germany vs. Curaçao: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0921c61d04ca3f79c5ec022da1bf5f39a59ab36506004d74a02f2894cc376e32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,401
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 78c | 14,173$11,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,072.52 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 18c | 10,678$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,874.77 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 16c | 5,795$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.05 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 15c | 4,443$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.48 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 14c | 3,460$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.87 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 16c | 2,940$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.95 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 49c | 2,450$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.68 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6567…c807backed Yes | 36c | 2,423$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.46 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 2,399$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.71 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 15c | 2,283$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.3 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 40c | 1,778$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.94 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf21b…0167backed No | 50c | 1,656$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.88 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xebc1…fcedbacked Yes | 34c | 1,325$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 32c | 1,249$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.02 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc977…56f1backed Yes | 3c | 1,194$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 108 | 23.1%25 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 40c | 1,155$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.84 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 60c | 1,115$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.84 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14be…3296backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 215 | 42.8%92 W · 123 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc9…ab64backed No | 4c | 929.92$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.73 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +6.8wins | +0.20per pick | 6cpaid | +327.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…21a8backed No | 48c | 890.82$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.23 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 76c | 799.18$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.65 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 51c | 765.35$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.02 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e68…fcb9backed Yes | 9c | 690.82$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.43 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +9.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 13c | 654.57$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.93 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 36c | 623.26$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.85 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2739…fd7cbacked Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 26c | 532.21$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.43 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 14c | 440.56$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.32 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 17c | 384$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe185…de06backed Yes | 4c | 341.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 47c | 318.96$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.05 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +25.9wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +129%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x75a8…d6f1backed Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Yes | 4c | 293.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 103 | 14.6%15 W · 88 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 49c | 285.71$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…80acbacked Yes | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 135 | 28.1%38 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 35c | 279.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc44…fa40backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d1…ae17backed Yes | 42c | 238.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…9fd9backed Yes | 4c | 238.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 74 | 4.1%3 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d90…7e0abacked Yes | 43c | 232.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…7246backed Yes | 50c | 206$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Yes | 12c | 205.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +20.4wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3409…6839backed Yes | 15c | 201$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…a35dbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1606…9a7cbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 14c | 199.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…d920backed No | 60c | 196.39$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.54 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ef…736dbacked Yes | 15c | 193.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Yes | 12c | 190.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +19.7wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc037…c387backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Yes | 15c | 166.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 356 | 14.3%51 W · 305 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…912cbacked Yes | 46c | 152.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.14 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 15c | 139.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…29bfbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…1302backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b19…c1f1backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1cd…896abacked Yes | 40c | 118.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6128…b632backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed No | 46c | 109.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.31 | 274 | 66.4%182 W · 92 L | +28.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ec…1481backed Yes | 46c | 108.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 18.2%12 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa135…68b8backed Yes | 15c | 104.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 322 | 45.3%146 W · 176 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec83…7014backed Yes | 17c | 103$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d9…00c4backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe44…af27backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3f…cca2backed Yes | 15c | 98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfda0…e80cbacked Yes | 15c | 97.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Yes | 15c | 93.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 65c | 93.06$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Yes | 11c | 92.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +22.2wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dc03backed Yes | 57c | 87.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Yes | 15c | 85.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 15c | 85.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 33c | 81.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52c1…d61fbacked Yes | 53c | 79.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 71c | 76.93$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed No | 51c | 69.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | +20.5wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed No | 51c | 67.06$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +26.4wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3e…2b53backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x804d…078cbacked No | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Yes | 37c | 54.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe212…2d07backed Yes | 37c | 54.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed No | 51c | 53.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | +25.7wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Yes | 38c | 53.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…b076backed Yes | 37c | 52.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb76…66fabacked Yes | 45c | 44.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 61c | 38.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed No | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 69c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…caf7backed Yes | 37c | 32.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 51c | 30.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +34.7wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +61%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed No | 46c | 27.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…123abacked No | 48c | 26.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f81…7ce2backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 71c | 19.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Draw at halftime?this page
- Curaçao leading at halftime?No won
- Germany leading at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.