TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany vs. Curaçao: Draw at halftime?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$100,350
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,401

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,350 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed No78c14,173$11,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,072.522,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes18c10,678$1,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,874.773,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes16c5,795$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.058,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes15c4,443$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.481,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes14c3,460$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.8725848.4%125 W · 133 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes16c2,940$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.952,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes49c2,450$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.682,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6567…c807backed Yes36c2,423$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.4611942%50 W · 69 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No77c2,399$1,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.714,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes15c2,283$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.31,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes40c1,778$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.942,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf21b…0167backed No50c1,656$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.881770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.3wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+103.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xebc1…fcedbacked Yes34c1,325$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes32c1,249$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.024,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc977…56f1backed Yes3c1,194$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3910823.1%25 W · 83 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes40c1,155$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.842,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No60c1,115$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.842,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14be…3296backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104829.2%14 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick19cpaid+54.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes14c999.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14021542.8%92 W · 123 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bc9…ab64backed No4c929.92$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.733525.7%9 W · 26 L+6.8wins+0.20per pick6cpaid+327.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xd8dd…21a8backed No48c890.82$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.231241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No76c799.18$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.6537644.9%169 W · 207 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a98…1b92backed No51c765.35$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.0211249.1%55 W · 57 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e68…fcb9backed Yes9c690.82$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.434761.7%29 W · 18 L+9.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+116.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes13c654.57$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.931,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes36c623.26$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.852,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2739…fd7cbacked Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009135.2%32 W · 59 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+50.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Yes26c532.21$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.4358642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes14c440.56$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.321,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes17c384$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.282,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe185…de06backed Yes4c341.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134314%6 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed No47c318.96$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.0513552.6%71 W · 64 L+25.9wins+0.19per pick33cpaid+129%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x75a8…d6f1backed Yes15c300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454332.6%14 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcb8…6b51backed Yes4c293.04$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4310314.6%15 W · 88 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+49.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes49c285.71$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8138…80acbacked Yes14c285.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013528.1%38 W · 97 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+27%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes35c279.99$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.251458.8%302 W · 212 L+25.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc44…fa40backed Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004245.2%19 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71d1…ae17backed Yes42c238.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…9fd9backed Yes4c238.1$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10744.1%3 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-60.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d90…7e0abacked Yes43c232.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003826.3%10 W · 28 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda6f…7246backed Yes50c206$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3968…85b5backed Yes12c205.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6810761.7%66 W · 41 L+20.4wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+66.4%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x3409…6839backed Yes15c201$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.155048%24 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3131…a35dbacked Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008551.8%44 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1606…9a7cbacked Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105637.5%21 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-15.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Yes14c199.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2827434.3%94 W · 180 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x640b…d920backed No60c196.39$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5419027.9%53 W · 137 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1ef…736dbacked Yes15c193.33$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910426%27 W · 77 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1985…51abbacked Yes12c190.76$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8912156.2%68 W · 53 L+19.7wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+69.1%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xc037…c387backed Yes17c176.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304639.1%18 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d74…f2abbacked Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007233.3%24 W · 48 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8af…0550backed Yes15c166.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9235614.3%51 W · 305 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x674d…912cbacked Yes46c152.48$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.142810.7%3 W · 25 L-5.8wins-0.21per pick31cpaid-68.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes15c139.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.31,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf9…29bfbacked Yes15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202832.1%9 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6297…1302backed Yes15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204526.7%12 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b19…c1f1backed Yes15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1cd…896abacked Yes40c118.15$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.854831.3%15 W · 33 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6128…b632backed Yes44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503129%9 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-36.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed No46c109.23$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.3127466.4%182 W · 92 L+28.8wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+23.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf1ec…1481backed Yes46c108.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506618.2%12 W · 54 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa135…68b8backed Yes15c104.36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6532245.3%146 W · 176 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec83…7014backed Yes17c103$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5115447.4%73 W · 81 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42d9…00c4backed Yes49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe44…af27backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159252.2%48 W · 44 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b3f…cca2backed Yes15c98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7850%4 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfda0…e80cbacked Yes15c97.07$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Yes15c93.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69f0…fb27backed No65c93.06$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0235035.7%125 W · 225 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x425e…ecfabacked Yes11c92.35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1611360.2%68 W · 45 L+22.2wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+63.7%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dc03backed Yes57c87.87$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Yes15c85.47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8284751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes15c85.47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8248152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes33c81.6$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.81,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52c1…d61fbacked Yes53c79.25$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427361.6%45 W · 28 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd717…3b85backed No71c76.93$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0336335.8%130 W · 233 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x153a…af29backed No51c69.29$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.959862.2%61 W · 37 L+20.5wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+56.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed No51c67.06$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8613158.8%77 W · 54 L+26.4wins+0.20per pick39cpaid+82.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x5b3e…2b53backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x804d…078cbacked No73c54.79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.791656.3%9 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e39…fe16backed Yes37c54.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208429.8%25 W · 59 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe212…2d07backed Yes37c54.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208735.6%31 W · 56 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed No51c53.71$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3214260.6%86 W · 56 L+25.7wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+49.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xf6a0…2212backed Yes38c53.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+59.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfeec…b076backed Yes37c52.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.461250%6 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb76…66fabacked Yes45c44.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+41.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f85…7b02backed No61c38.95$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1933937.5%127 W · 212 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf08…12a3backed No79c37.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.971163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No69c35$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1134554.2%187 W · 158 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x10e0…caf7backed Yes37c32.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked No51c30.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7919356%108 W · 85 L+34.7wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+61%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No63c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0437348.3%180 W · 193 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42f…b629backed No46c27.87$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.18453.6%45 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+45.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x490e…123abacked No48c26.76$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.862147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c3…f740backed No73c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6521046.2%97 W · 113 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f81…7ce2backed No64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed No71c19.71$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.741,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.