Mls · resolved market
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7eddf18d46772a8abfae33004aa131aedb7534514c3b588a310760431819af2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe831…a42abacked Yes | 56c | 16,856$9,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,386.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 55c | 16,113$8,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,838.93 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 43c | 12,126$5,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,170.39 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 42c | 10,453$4,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,375.6 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 43c | 8,231$3,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,539.54 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00c…f4febacked Yes | 50c | 7,366$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,666.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 57c | 6,477$3,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,782.04 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 55c | 3,913$2,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,136.01 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 46c | 3,320$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785.56 | 102 | 73.5%75 W · 27 L | +13.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Yes | 45c | 3,307$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831.54 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 39c | 3,206$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,954.25 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 50c | 2,032$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.75 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.31per pick | 46cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 1,891$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.9 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba54…699dbacked Yes | 44c | 1,364$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Yes | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 35c | 1,055$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.16 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 50c | 1,005$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.08 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…1db6backed Yes | 56c | 892.84$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.85 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 41c | 643.9$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.9 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…bbc3backed Yes | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 62c | 429.12$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.04 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Yes | 60c | 409.08$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.63 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 65c | 405.11$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.78 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 66c | 395$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.9 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 56c | 358.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.16 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 44c | 343.32$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.06 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 44c | 343.32$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.06 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 43c | 298$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.23 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 50c | 292.6$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.3 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 33c | 265.92$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.51 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -7.4wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -41%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 40c | 252.02$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.81 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 35c | 252$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 41c | 244.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 46c | 231.59$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.24 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 58c | 228.45$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.74 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed No | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 50c | 226.42$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.77 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Yes | 60c | 201.26$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.26 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Yes | 76c | 197$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.15 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 38c | 188.01$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked No | 55c | 183.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 11c | 172.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Yes | 50c | 168$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 56c | 154.71$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.35 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73ed…06d5backed No | 41c | 154.1$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 65c | 149.24$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.98 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 42c | 134.09$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.27 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +20.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 12c | 117$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 51c | 106$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.11 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 39c | 106$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.66 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 36c | 105.56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.56 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed No | 40c | 100.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…5ba6backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 42c | 96.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 41c | 93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +13.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 41c | 88$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.13 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b5…20fcbacked Yes | 60c | 86.7$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +97%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe868…7c4fbacked Yes | 35c | 82.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Yes | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b24…4247backed Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5e…b61abacked Yes | 60c | 68.43$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 70c | 66.26$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Yes | 52c | 64.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 26c | 64.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 54c | 63.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +18.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed Yes | 48c | 59.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Yes | 51c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 23c | 57.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 41c | 56.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 90 | 70%63 W · 27 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 59c | 56.17$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b90…5077backed Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +112.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 45c | 51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…321cbacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 35c | 47.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 56c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked No | 46c | 43.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…c13bbacked Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 66c | 42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2709…9e3bbacked Yes | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8e…0404backed Yes | 33c | 39.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +101.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked Yes | 59c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95ad…4eebbacked Yes | 50c | 37.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Yes | 72c | 37.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 54c | 33.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 58c | 32.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed No | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 43c | 29.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…1279backed Yes | 53c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 74c | 28.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed No | 44c | 27.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-05-16?No won
- Will Real Salt Lake vs. Colorado Rapids SC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.