Mls · resolved market
Will Real Salt Lake vs. Colorado Rapids SC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2190ba1faa06fa272851290cbc4f63772df0f39bf6f8d8b444d4ca25c8da7de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked No | 62c | 8,773$5,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,361.52 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +20.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 78c | 8,445$6,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827.56 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 30c | 4,660$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.62 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Yes | 11c | 2,727$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 22c | 2,538$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.39 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 34c | 2,511$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.33 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 72c | 2,500$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.02 | 102 | 73.5%75 W · 27 L | +13.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 77c | 2,402$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.52 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 23c | 2,140$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.2 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed No | 78c | 996.08$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.14 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 28c | 995.46$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.21 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 65c | 795$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.87 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 28c | 550$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.4 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Yes | 28c | 550$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.42 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 57c | 535.09$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.09 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 75c | 315.93$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x429e…41bdbacked No | 77c | 247.26$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.87 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 76c | 231.59$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.63 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 45c | 223.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 31c | 210$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 30c | 189$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 71c | 158$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 63c | 152$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 74c | 140.6$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 128.82$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 77c | 126$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 72c | 124.11$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.81 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 31c | 112$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 101.26$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…b1cebacked Yes | 30c | 99.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Yes | 37c | 66.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 23c | 65.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 31c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 30c | 57.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 70c | 57.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 65c | 53.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 74c | 50.59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…819abacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 78c | 46.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 79c | 39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 70c | 35.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed No | 73c | 32.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 64c | 31.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 70c | 30.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 78c | 25.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 72c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 74c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Salt Lake vs. Colorado Rapids SC end in a draw?this page
- Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-05-16?No won
- Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-05-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.