Mls · resolved market
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x605354390de3fa4ecb5e42b3f9bda8b9c3ebe0088374306b70d697f456043736
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 18c | 6,399$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.38 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 72c | 5,079$3,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.66 | 102 | 73.5%75 W · 27 L | +13.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 80c | 3,933$3,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.15 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 23c | 1,861$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.24 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 66c | 1,294$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.75 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 74c | 1,104$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.96 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 39c | 1,030$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.14 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed No | 60c | 999.95$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.98 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 80c | 859.24$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.35 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 9c | 602$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 20c | 573.71$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.11 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…61babacked No | 79c | 443.04$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 71c | 372$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.83 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 76c | 335.13$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.7 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 41c | 291.5$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.37 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 23c | 192.74$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 64c | 189$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.64 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 9c | 183$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 156 | 76.9%120 W · 36 L | +32.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 66c | 171$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.88 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Yes | 20c | 164.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +512.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 22c | 153.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x290a…0994backed No | 80c | 149.2$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 76c | 135$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 79c | 134$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 69c | 132$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 110.61$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 60c | 105$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Yes | 42c | 91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…b1cebacked Yes | 41c | 90.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked No | 60c | 81.25$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed No | 72c | 65.92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 62c | 45.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 60c | 40.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 38c | 40.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 39.42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 80c | 39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Yes | 43c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7a…52c9backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked No | 71c | 28.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…1302backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 78c | 18.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 67c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed No | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 79c | 13.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.83 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will Real Salt Lake vs. Colorado Rapids SC end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-05-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.