Mls · resolved market
Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30e997b0bcf237ed58b94ad34c3a5d97183f950ad80bcc0458db1e98fb47ae1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,489
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,489 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 73c | 4,438$3,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.53 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…9fc9backed No | 26c | 3,846$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 27c | 3,014$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.03 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 27c | 2,776$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.67 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8612…98a6backed Yes | 74c | 2,141$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 72c | 1,950$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.92 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 73c | 1,901$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.31 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Yes | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 28c | 1,327$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.47 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 28c | 1,240$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.62 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 70c | 1,200$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.55 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 28c | 845.93$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.01 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 72c | 807$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.96 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 27c | 736$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 26c | 614.15$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.68 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…0c67backed Yes | 72c | 551$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 27c | 506.48$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.18 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b8…36ddbacked Yes | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 70cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 71c | 244.49$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.9 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 71c | 168.13$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 28c | 165.07$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 71c | 146.24$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3644…eb27backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 27c | 137.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c8…68f0backed Yes | 74c | 134.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed No | 27c | 129.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 27c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 76c | 115.29$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 69c | 98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 69c | 98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 27c | 96.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb1…5d36backed Yes | 72c | 89.18$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 80c | 88$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 26c | 84.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…321cbacked Yes | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 29c | 74.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 28c | 71.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked Yes | 73c | 66.12$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 80c | 49.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed No | 27c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7e…ce2bbacked No | 30c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 26c | 42.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a76…5c05backed Yes | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Yes | 74c | 40.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1fde…095bbacked Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5af6…842ebacked Yes | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 76c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 72c | 38.3$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…24b1backed Yes | 71c | 36.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…cee8backed Yes | 73c | 25.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…a157backed Yes | 73c | 24.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…ac48backed Yes | 74c | 17.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…f3b3backed Yes | 71c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 71c | 16.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF: Inter Miami CF O/U 0.5Over won
- Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF: Inter Miami CF O/U 1.5Over won
- Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF: Inter Miami CF O/U 2.5Under won
- Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5Over won
- Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF: Philadelphia Union O/U 1.5Over won
- Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF: Philadelphia Union O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)Philadelphia Union won
- Spread: Philadelphia Union (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: Philadelphia Union (-2.5)Inter Miami CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.