TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,427
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,264

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,427 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over29c2,540$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.1622841.7%95 W · 133 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Under10c2,092$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,880.681717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under3c1,830$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,780.953938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+197%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under68c1,178$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.0514062.1%87 W · 53 L-0.5wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Over70c1,152$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.411573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+32.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under38c1,123$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.1499340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over61c1,049$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.2719172.3%138 W · 53 L+36.8wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+41.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over67c1,044$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.841,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over70c922.11$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.01812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-78.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under35c910.79$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.4892346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd35…17debacked Over66c858.72$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.45366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over60c834.65$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.9636247.2%171 W · 191 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd052…563dbacked Under36c833.33$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Under67c715.61$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.4339435.8%141 W · 253 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under36c712.91$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.411,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under47c700$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.627058.9%159 W · 111 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Over53c690$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.73735.1%13 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under74c675.38$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.612917.2%5 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over34c596.48$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.8933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under34c494.78$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.8913464.9%87 W · 47 L+17.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+22.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd75a…d264backed Under31c469$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.023946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01b7…602bbacked Over77c465.3$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under71c456.37$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.3598945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3713…96c6backed Under69c435.33$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.95450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x709d…f749backed Over65c399.6$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked Over25c390.47$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.523551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Under66c382.01$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.8814652.1%76 W · 70 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9ea…9c73backed Under55c379.66$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.092846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under39c374.36$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.411,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under72c345.98$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.8768550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under35c315.24$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.7612848.4%62 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over66c312.39$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.0912839.8%51 W · 77 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over49c273.96$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.5338246.1%176 W · 206 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under29c253.8$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.1923953.6%128 W · 111 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over50c239.4$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.1796756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Over10c233.87$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.428624.4%21 W · 65 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under70c222.74$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.093,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x715d…a4babacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Under31c194.84$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.777045.7%32 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under72c192.96$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0391553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked Under36c192.4$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.355450%27 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under45c188.95$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.3480249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Over27c183.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.671330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-41.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Over70c171$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.5312667.5%85 W · 41 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe84c…5269backed Over33c166.67$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0b4…17eebacked Over80c154.93$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under35c154$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.122042.7%94 W · 126 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under61c152.47$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.971443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over30c137.49$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3917740.7%72 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over70c131.38$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.0530957%176 W · 133 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under70c123$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.935550.4%179 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under26c112$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.1444447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under66c110$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0120449%100 W · 104 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under59c108$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7282044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4740…fa66backed Over51c99.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under50c99.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8446156.2%259 W · 202 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under48c96.4$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2327344.3%121 W · 152 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under63c93$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8430735.2%108 W · 199 L-32.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over62c92.24$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7328721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Over33c90$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.971952.6%10 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.21per pick31cpaid+45.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Under72c82.24$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.036558.5%38 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under69c75.68$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.321,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under38c75.56$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7839234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over48c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.817642.1%32 W · 44 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked Under72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.445676.8%43 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick74cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Under22c68.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.183534.3%12 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Under48c68.12$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.422965.5%19 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1b9…c40bbacked Over79c62.86$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.431926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-41.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d56…1c7dbacked Over32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204323.3%10 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-46.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xec1e…0d9cbacked Over75c62.24$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.56616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-76.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Over35c62.01$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.711046.4%51 W · 59 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under65c62.01$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.716960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked Under39c60.67$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.072564%16 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under71c60.53$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5535149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under35c60$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.831446.5%146 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under66c58.8$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9987154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over28c53.82$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0768150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked Under68c52.94$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.941283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under22c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0535247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under29c47.9$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7719641.3%81 W · 115 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Over60c47.55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.356653%35 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over79c42$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.187951.9%41 W · 38 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bc1…eebebacked Over52c36.04$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.873740.5%15 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65ee…3240backed Over56c35.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf423…31c4backed Under44c35.05$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.623145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over50c34.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3320554.6%112 W · 93 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over33c34.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4916948.5%82 W · 87 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8227…f436backed Over74c33.83$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over72c33.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1425652.3%134 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba5e…153bbacked Under72c33.49$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.57339.7%29 W · 44 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over32c32.72$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4773438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over64c32.68$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.069070%63 W · 27 L+11.7wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+24%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x72b3…fcf8backed Over76c31.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over60c31.43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.76303.3%1 W · 29 L-12.3wins-0.41per pick44cpaid-94.4%equal weight25-0.22 edge/pick
0xe454…8b7dbacked Over67c31.35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+41.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over78c30.42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.591,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8955…3a83backed Under50c28.62$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.321163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Under68c27.03$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.653743.2%16 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over69c25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.336646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed Under71c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.255549.1%27 W · 28 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.