TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf63a…eec2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
124
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst Commodities at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT6060%36 W · 24 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+62.4%+$37.09
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$13.93
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+63.6%+$46.43
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$13.56
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+111.7%+$22.11
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+394.6%+$78.14
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$17.23
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+62.3%+$9.26
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.51
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.2
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+77.5%+$11.22
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$11.68
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.55
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$9.66
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.34
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+106%+$45.72
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.56
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+157%+$52.41
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+94.3%+$26.33
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.54
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+269.4%+$37.66
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$10.35
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.8
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.57
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.61
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+28%+$9.71
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+204.1%+$538.65
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.1
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.33
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.55
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$26.68
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$26.88
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$41
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.07
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$11
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.9
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$61.81
Spread: Bucks (-5.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.38
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$19.06
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26.41
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.38
Spread: Trail Blazers (-16.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.25
All 24 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.59
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$262.5
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$397
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.03
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.04
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+159.1%+$56.56
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.37
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$34.07
All 12 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+106.9%+$31.75
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick72cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.88
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$78.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+147%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+147%+$29.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.