Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 11-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde8667d0b4c89a80bd1805703f63e656955659e49b8060d828d72acf8b4ef237
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 40c | 10,894$4,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,484.97 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c1…2e70backed No | 30c | 10,506$3,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,132.92 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…a926backed Yes | 34c | 9,999$3,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,642.68 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1d…d0fabacked Yes | 59c | 8,951$5,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,653.82 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8a…7699backed No | 59c | 8,529$5,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,031.91 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 53c | 7,466$3,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,524.22 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +14.8wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9343…3f72backed Yes | 43c | 4,363$1,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,496.22 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -74%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4a…f91cbacked No | 63c | 3,950$2,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,486.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc250…8d6ebacked No | 76c | 2,015$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.27 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 73cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed Yes | 76c | 2,000$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 138 | 63%87 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked No | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.97 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 59cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x45fb…f1f6backed No | 76c | 1,577$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf30…8fbdbacked No | 53c | 1,321$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd0…a85bbacked Yes | 17c | 1,318$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.99 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb37b…5186backed No | 45c | 1,307$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.96 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41a9…0d8bbacked No | 57c | 1,228$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.61 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807d…76dcbacked No | 38c | 1,059$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.91 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…dc73backed No | 66c | 887.94$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.42 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 35c | 806.65$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.34 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f9…060bbacked Yes | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed Yes | 63c | 707.72$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.89 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed No | 65c | 699.91$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.94 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…4dd8backed Yes | 15c | 678.65$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.16 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked No | 47c | 590.89$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.46 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb202…e10fbacked Yes | 16c | 567.24$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.81 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e2…7893backed No | 62c | 499.99$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafb3…9a3cbacked No | 75c | 471.32$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…7b1fbacked No | 64c | 448.43$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbe…8f37backed No | 75c | 446.84$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 7c | 436.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…2842backed No | 8c | 400$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 148 | 3.4%5 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x897d…01cbbacked No | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…0ff2backed No | 8c | 399.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 104 | 3.8%4 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe58b…8649backed No | 60c | 378.93$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c3…d0efbacked Yes | 56c | 376.23$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.34 | 84 | 67.9%57 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Yes | 40c | 375$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd2…a384backed No | 59c | 361.61$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…0a62backed Yes | 65c | 351.52$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6685…0622backed No | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 17c | 300$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 120 | 12.5%15 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Yes | 63c | 299.99$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc017…a219backed Yes | 67c | 284.25$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…d8e7backed No | 57c | 271.27$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.6 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 31c | 251.85$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.13 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd143…83ecbacked Yes | 46c | 239.48$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.48 | 102 | 21.6%22 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc29…1c34backed Yes | 21c | 226.41$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.07 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed No | 56c | 218$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.78 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked No | 25c | 206$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb42c…c27bbacked No | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 99 | 4%4 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…de4cbacked No | 53c | 199.97$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked No | 65c | 194.83$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa251…505fbacked Yes | 53c | 190.85$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.99 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 49cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…5b41backed No | 53c | 188$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x301d…1e42backed Yes | 37c | 180.9$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b16…4ae8backed No | 26c | 180.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.49 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x154f…b99fbacked No | 73c | 178.08$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b1…d103backed No | 58c | 173.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ae…91c2backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d4…f1f5backed Yes | 61c | 142.35$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…b18fbacked No | 70c | 131.87$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 73cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…6f44backed No | 52c | 128.73$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4043…19cfbacked Yes | 17c | 124.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.74 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ed…fbddbacked No | 49c | 124.46$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc5…3767backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f95…01a8backed Yes | 40c | 120$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.84 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed No | 43c | 115.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…7816backed No | 71c | 104.93$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…533fbacked Yes | 47c | 101.45$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7a…fdd0backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…ab3abacked Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bb…cb45backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eeb…c3d7backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 94 | 27.7%26 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b3…3ffebacked Yes | 34c | 99.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdc…58e8backed No | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe21…eea8backed Yes | 40c | 95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 36c | 93.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…3e6ebacked Yes | 44c | 92.53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +154.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1dd…a272backed Yes | 53c | 90$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 117 | 26.5%31 W · 86 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…dad8backed Yes | 36c | 86.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87d…8cafbacked No | 41c | 85.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x003b…d89bbacked No | 63c | 85.07$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 24c | 82.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.67 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55d…7484backed Yes | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…0425backed Yes | 41c | 79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.94 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa813…04fbbacked Yes | 35c | 77.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.3 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +17.0wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…bfb5backed No | 73c | 76.36$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.74 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 66c | 71.09$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.89 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 71cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…b9b3backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…4484backed Yes | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…20f7backed No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 67%67 W · 33 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb462…fc89backed No | 77c | 64.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…a17bbacked Yes | 25c | 62.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.23 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -66%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…8ffebacked Yes | 37c | 62.47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e16…0e72backed No | 61c | 61.81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…4137backed Yes | 31c | 61.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +224%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 42c | 55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 53c | 54.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf194…feaabacked No | 33c | 53.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 11-17?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 11-17?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 11-17?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 11-17?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 11-17?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 11-17?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 11-17?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 11-17?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 May 11-17?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 May 11-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.