Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6224deba7220976cb985938bb05690366bc7e9111ef0cea65573d652d587e80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $291,738
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $316,770
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $291,738 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda6b…a403backed Yes | 1c | 35,328$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.27 | 62 | 0%0 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes | 2c | 20,936$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.19 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e2…282fbacked Yes | 3c | 10,991$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 40 | 7.5%3 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 29c | 8,996$2,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,622.26 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe190…0a5dbacked Yes | 1c | 7,200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 103 | 1.9%2 W · 101 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…798fbacked Yes | 31c | 5,329$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8a…7699backed No | 59c | 4,501$2,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.35 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 29c | 4,398$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.37 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ef…3116backed Yes | 1c | 4,139$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.18 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7749…a19fbacked Yes | 3c | 4,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…4484backed No | 79c | 3,760$2,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.49 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e5…d08ebacked Yes | 3c | 3,707$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 10c | 3,021$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.53 | 131 | 17.6%23 W · 108 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…4dd8backed Yes | 7c | 2,905$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.35 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815d…8648backed Yes | 15c | 2,500$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.92 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…246ebacked No | 75c | 2,499$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.84 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,497$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…2842backed Yes | 2c | 2,120$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 148 | 3.4%5 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa56c…a440backed No | 69c | 2,111$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.34 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc29…1c34backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 12c | 1,887$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.29 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c56…46ccbacked Yes | 59c | 1,602$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 24c | 1,329$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.55 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +14.8wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x41a9…0d8bbacked No | 78c | 1,284$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.66 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…0ff2backed Yes | 2c | 1,260$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 104 | 3.8%4 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 3c | 1,200$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53b5…d768backed Yes | 7c | 1,133$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.04 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…dc73backed No | 58c | 1,030$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.85 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb42c…c27bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 99 | 4%4 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…1131backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +147.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6685…0622backed No | 58c | 858.52$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.52 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…bfb5backed No | 72c | 832.53$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.72 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7410…04a3backed Yes | 17c | 823.53$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c9…65febacked Yes | 11c | 800$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb37b…5186backed Yes | 31c | 715.94$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.96 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa772…05efbacked No | 64c | 668.05$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.05 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30cb…b901backed No | 58c | 609.04$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.71 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…7d2abacked Yes | 38c | 605.57$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.85 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -5.0wins | -0.31per pick | 50cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…a17bbacked Yes | 8c | 579.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -66%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3451…a6e1backed Yes | 17c | 512.51$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe956…c4e0backed Yes | 34c | 399.95$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.98 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 30cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…d8e7backed Yes | 30c | 375.39$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.57 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f61…d9d5backed No | 47c | 326.85$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa29b…a0b8backed Yes | 47c | 316.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…8ffebacked Yes | 28c | 302.96$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.66 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd19f…cfaabacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb462…fc89backed Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaecd…27abbacked No | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf30…8fbdbacked No | 76c | 269.48$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba8…92e9backed Yes | 16c | 241.61$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…f405backed Yes | 43c | 234.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce7…0f6abacked No | 71c | 229.33$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e74…6d51backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef24…a44dbacked No | 45c | 224.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…9592backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa813…04fbbacked No | 58c | 218.6$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.81 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +17.0wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7cdb…a128backed Yes | 13c | 208.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Yes | 31c | 199.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed No | 79c | 191.03$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.03 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x897d…01cbbacked No | 69c | 183.87$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x207c…52fabacked Yes | 38c | 168.4$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37dc…85ccbacked Yes | 45c | 166.6$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7f…2f05backed Yes | 6c | 159.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd980…5be0backed Yes | 23c | 157.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.17 | 112 | 10.7%12 W · 100 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6c…e10dbacked Yes | 37c | 152.03$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e9…253bbacked Yes | 11c | 149.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f27…a764backed No | 69c | 130.39$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc107…f2cdbacked Yes | 11c | 123.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f3…f7e3backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…501dbacked No | 60c | 110.94$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.23 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23ef…0112backed No | 59c | 110.94$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.96 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…20f7backed No | 49c | 102.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 100 | 67%67 W · 33 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7968…e1b1backed Yes | 34c | 102.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…b9b3backed No | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09a7…8213backed Yes | 23c | 100.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7a…fdd0backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15eb…491cbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe8…5135backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa280…fbbabacked No | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…d67cbacked No | 63c | 90$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e6…2d79backed Yes | 33c | 86.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3d…bd04backed No | 59c | 81.48$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa5…edacbacked Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 50c | 79.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.93 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…eb6ebacked No | 61c | 76.09$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd2…a384backed No | 66c | 75.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc044…2d08backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e16…0e72backed No | 63c | 74.9$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcadf…3245backed No | 69c | 73.75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +91%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfa…9bb4backed No | 63c | 59.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked Yes | 36c | 59.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ef…04b0backed No | 74c | 56.62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa758…444dbacked Yes | 22c | 52.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -75%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4659…4da9backed Yes | 28c | 46.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x628c…c651backed No | 56c | 46.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c3…d0efbacked Yes | 43c | 44.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 84 | 67.9%57 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d45…25a3backed Yes | 32c | 44.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6119…346ebacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc643…1a02backed Yes | 37c | 40.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b8…0390backed Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 11-17?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 11-17?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 11-17?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 11-17?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 11-17?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 11-17?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 11-17?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 11-17?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 May 11-17?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 May 11-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.