UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8d1db7f6264ed8c4eae9c18f32bc213ae23048c2e013d730ef537e0a6cad208
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tommy McMillenof Alberto Montes, Tommy McMillen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $545,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $557,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $545,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 403 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Tommy McMillen | 66c | 235,555$154,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,888.64 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Alberto Montes | 35c | 104,592$36,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,616.32 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Alberto Montes | 34c | 101,648$34,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,560.38 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alberto Montes | 34c | 33,972$11,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,443.9 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Tommy McMillen | 65c | 14,999$9,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,249.64 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5896backed Alberto Montes | 42c | 14,301$6,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,054.42 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Tommy McMillen | 65c | 14,000$9,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.99 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Alberto Montes | 9c | 13,971$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.91 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Tommy McMillen | 59c | 10,220$6,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,186.24 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Alberto Montes | 11c | 10,180$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.59 | 152 | 38.2%58 W · 94 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Tommy McMillen | 62c | 9,642$5,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,688.28 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b13…294cbacked Alberto Montes | 35c | 6,674$2,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,337.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Tommy McMillen | 63c | 6,493$4,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,402.55 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Alberto Montes | 34c | 5,882$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.88 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Tommy McMillen | 65c | 5,800$3,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.02 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Alberto Montes | 22c | 5,557$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.58 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Alberto Montes | 34c | 5,324$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.3 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Alberto Montes | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Alberto Montes | 37c | 5,000$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Alberto Montes | 12c | 4,988$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.82 | 180 | 32.8%59 W · 121 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Tommy McMillen | 64c | 4,756$3,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.06 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Tommy McMillen | 65c | 4,580$2,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd422…7e43backed Alberto Montes | 34c | 4,410$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.4 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Alberto Montes | 29c | 4,324$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.88 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Tommy McMillen | 60c | 4,175$2,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.12 | 200 | 48.5%97 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Tommy McMillen | 76c | 4,095$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.85 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…3426backed Alberto Montes | 28c | 3,580$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.04 | 138 | 32.6%45 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8089…f935backed Alberto Montes | 34c | 3,500$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Alberto Montes | 34c | 3,443$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.16 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…a2d1backed Tommy McMillen | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked Alberto Montes | 15c | 3,294$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked Alberto Montes | 37c | 3,260$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Alberto Montes | 36c | 3,185$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.61 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Alberto Montes | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -12.6wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Alberto Montes | 16c | 2,971$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.85 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f9…5c3dbacked Alberto Montes | 17c | 2,942$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Alberto Montes | 32c | 2,922$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.41 | 267 | 36%96 W · 171 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Tommy McMillen | 61c | 2,754$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.04 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…8abebacked Alberto Montes | 27c | 2,745$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.71 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Alberto Montes | 18c | 2,730$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22fc…2db9backed Alberto Montes | 36c | 2,697$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Tommy McMillen | 66c | 2,596$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.51 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Alberto Montes | 16c | 2,566$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.98 | 356 | 48.6%173 W · 183 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Alberto Montes | 23c | 2,500$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…e86dbacked Tommy McMillen | 66c | 2,368$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.18 | 156 | 56.4%88 W · 68 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Alberto Montes | 19c | 2,057$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.64 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Tommy McMillen | 60c | 2,000$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.95 | 355 | 64.5%229 W · 126 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…a656backed Tommy McMillen | 55c | 2,000$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.99 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Alberto Montes | 42c | 2,000$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.98 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…1d39backed Alberto Montes | 29c | 1,972$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 178 | 41.6%74 W · 104 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Alberto Montes | 5c | 1,900$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.62 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Tommy McMillen | 72c | 1,900$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.17 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…3fe8backed Alberto Montes | 40c | 1,630$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.1 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Alberto Montes | 7c | 1,606$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.58 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Alberto Montes | 35c | 1,550$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.5 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Tommy McMillen | 65c | 1,454$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.92 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Alberto Montes | 41c | 1,434$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.79 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…939ebacked Alberto Montes | 10c | 1,407$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.68 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…ef2cbacked Alberto Montes | 42c | 1,386$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa06a…d284backed Alberto Montes | 19c | 1,276$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Alberto Montes | 22c | 1,272$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.87 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Tommy McMillen | 57c | 1,265$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.46 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Alberto Montes | 22c | 1,250$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Alberto Montes | 19c | 1,157$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…da93backed Tommy McMillen | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.08 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 44cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf334…bdefbacked Tommy McMillen | 63c | 1,116$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.93 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…77f5backed Tommy McMillen | 78c | 1,105$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.9 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3155…268ebacked Tommy McMillen | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.95 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed Alberto Montes | 40c | 1,031$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.52 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Alberto Montes | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d32…653ebacked Tommy McMillen | 64c | 1,009$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.7 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Alberto Montes | 15c | 1,000$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…cbb5backed Alberto Montes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf807…c5dcbacked Alberto Montes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf85f…6ea2backed Alberto Montes | 40c | 999.95$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.78 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Alberto Montes | 45c | 956.34$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.36 | 137 | 35.8%49 W · 88 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Alberto Montes | 17c | 943.49$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.87 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Tommy McMillen | 66c | 918.18$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.18 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…7aa2backed Tommy McMillen | 65c | 917.22$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.22 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Alberto Montes | 23c | 916.41$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.92 | 263 | 52.1%137 W · 126 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Alberto Montes | 34c | 897.98$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Tommy McMillen | 54c | 894.64$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.43 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…c994backed Alberto Montes | 36c | 864.38$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Alberto Montes | 8c | 862.5$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Tommy McMillen | 66c | 833.33$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.33 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2952…f50dbacked Alberto Montes | 35c | 829.43$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Tommy McMillen | 65c | 799.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Tommy McMillen | 65c | 792.47$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade3…b321backed Alberto Montes | 25c | 792.04$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.66 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a22…5c62backed Alberto Montes | 35c | 790$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Alberto Montes | 48c | 757.16$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.44 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Alberto Montes | 4c | 750$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Alberto Montes | 34c | 728.79$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.79 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2180…df40backed Tommy McMillen | 66c | 727.86$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.47 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Tommy McMillen | 75c | 670.74$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.74 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Alberto Montes | 34c | 663.14$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.47 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Alberto Montes | 35c | 662.86$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Tommy McMillen | 55c | 649.95$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.98 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b4…f97ebacked Alberto Montes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +192.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed Tommy McMillen | 78c | 612.37$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Alberto Montes win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Tommy McMillen win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.