MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbf7941b9d8a282999b1e21e48998e9993ce071e5e4656ffe21235ed7022b454
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof Miami Marlins, Milwaukee Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $405,151
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $411,977
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $405,151 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 242 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 66,231$36,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,263.62 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 55,046$25,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,321.1 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 36,000$19,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,559.95 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55c5…2908backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 20,680$9,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,512.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 18,274$8,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,406 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 17,500$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,350 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 15,522$7,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,802.71 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 77c | 11,173$8,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,604.47 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 6,121$3,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,106.33 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 6,110$2,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,552.4 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 5,581$2,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,804.77 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Miami Marlins | 65c | 5,279$3,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,437.66 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255f…8277backed Miami Marlins | 7c | 5,169$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Milwaukee Brewers | 19c | 5,134$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,156.57 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed Miami Marlins | 76c | 4,941$3,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,734.27 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Milwaukee Brewers | 32c | 4,935$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,339.71 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 4,892$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 4,587$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.69 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 4,513$2,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075.96 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 3,670$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.37 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Miami Marlins | 53c | 3,500$1,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,867.1 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 75c | 3,077$2,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 3,042$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.28 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…dc17backed Milwaukee Brewers | 30c | 3,010$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 24cpaid | +94%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 2,845$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685.1 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 2,752$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.53 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 2,460$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.69 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4848…71b9backed Miami Marlins | 10c | 2,383$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 2,339$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.55 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4218…ad74backed Miami Marlins | 11c | 2,273$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 2,149$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.64 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 2,084$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.75 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 1,904$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.66 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 21c | 1,800$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.32 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 1,766$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.61 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Miami Marlins | 64c | 1,622$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.77 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 1,516$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.5 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Milwaukee Brewers | 72c | 1,408$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.31 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…3b76backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 1,385$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.93 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…34c3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 1,333$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.17 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed Milwaukee Brewers | 35c | 1,148$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 1,111$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.71 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8840…f51abacked Miami Marlins | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 999.79$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.06 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 987.05$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.04 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa598…aa4fbacked Miami Marlins | 2c | 981.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 975$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.5 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Milwaukee Brewers | 20c | 797.57$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.04 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…9b78backed Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 764.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Milwaukee Brewers | 31c | 753.64$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.64 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 710.64$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Miami Marlins | 61c | 615.16$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.14 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f66fbacked Miami Marlins | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…91a2backed Miami Marlins | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 3.6%2 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…e6a6backed Miami Marlins | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 69 | 7.2%5 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef84…6872backed Miami Marlins | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e50…0ea8backed Miami Marlins | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 57 | 7%4 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +83%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ff…3214backed Milwaukee Brewers | 25c | 589.99$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.89 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 556.03$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.71 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 550$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 548.7$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.43 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5c…fc49backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 534$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.64 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 528$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.38 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked Miami Marlins | 77c | 519.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.4 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked Miami Marlins | 70c | 511$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.7 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8b…f9f5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 499.07$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 461.02$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.8 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 447$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.99 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 446.27$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.21 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6af4…ec95backed Miami Marlins | 8c | 436.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 435$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…e4a3backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 407.54$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.89 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 403.89$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.31 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 373.48$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.53 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3050…1a35backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 373.1$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.9 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 360.04$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.22 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c2…dc0bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 334.53$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.69 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 329.77$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.29 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 328$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.92 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 316.14$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.62 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 311.64$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.67 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 299.8$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.2 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 287.25$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.41 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 285.94$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 285.81$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.71 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 282.45$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.1 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe426…f4ffbacked Miami Marlins | 24c | 265.97$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.89 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 257.93$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.84 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 252.02$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.84 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 250$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Miami Marlins | 72c | 250$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 241.52$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.2 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 240.43$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.35 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52de…8f92backed Miami Marlins | 63c | 238.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 144 | 69.4%100 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewersthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 1.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.